默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hibernian v Kilmarnock

开赛时间: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hibernian (主队)

预测 57.06%1.75公平赔率
EV -3.57%
优势 -2.11%
Kelly -5.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布
55.19%57.06%57.09%59.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.551.631.651.6964.52%61.21%60.61%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Kilmarnock (客队)

预测 19.04%5.25公平赔率
EV +0.925%
优势 +0.174%
Kelly +0.215%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.68%18.98%19.07%20.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.504.834.805.3022.22%20.68%20.83%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.90%4.18公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -0.612%
Kelly -0.810%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.08

博彩公司预测分布
22.99%23.96%23.84%25.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.843.834.0827.78%26.07%26.14%24.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hibernian (主队):57.06%;Kilmarnock (客队):19.04%;平局:23.90%。 对于“Kilmarnock (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.25。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.30,对应+0.925%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.88%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.89%EV +0.925%E +0.174%K +0.215%G +0.002%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.23%EV -2.50%E -0.612%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -11.56%E -7.46%K -21.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -0.980%E -0.188%K -0.233%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 08:24
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.64%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.31%EV -5.60%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 22:09
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.16%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 18.67%EV -4.41%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.16%EV -7.28%E -1.88%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 23:14
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 05:14
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 05:14
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 19:20
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 05:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:39
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:35
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.04%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:35
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 10:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 10:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 10:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.79%E -0.958%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-14 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -9.67%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 07:34
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.21%E -0.793%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 12:55
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.33%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.36%EV -3.21%E -0.793%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-14 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 05:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.99%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -4.71%E -2.82%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.99%E -2.08%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-12 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 04:49
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.60%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-17 04:49
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-17 05:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 05:13
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.42%E -6.63%K -18.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-17 08:35
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.42%EV -3.57%E -2.11%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 14:00
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:39
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:39
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:39
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 11:40
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -5.85%E -3.55%K -9.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-12 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -9.85%E -6.23%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.00%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.47%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-18 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -6.99%E -4.29%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-13 05:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.19%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.67%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-18 19:19
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -7.56%E -4.67%K -12.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-12 11:44
LeoVegas🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -6.42%E -3.92%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.38%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 19:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.59%EV -8.13%E -5.05%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -12.77%E -3.50%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-12 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-12 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -8.70%E -5.44%K -14.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-12 11:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (2)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.80%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.00%4.2%2026-08-21 09:55
Smarkets◎1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%8.4%2026-08-17 05:14