The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hibernian v Falkirk F.C.

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Hibernian 1–2 Falkirk F.C.

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hibernian (Local)

Prediction 54.94%1.82fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.11%54.98%57.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.691.701.7464.52%59.33%58.82%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visit)

Prediction 20.94%4.78fair odd
EV +0.731%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.192%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.00%20.79%20.94%21.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.474.504.8124.39%22.37%22.22%20.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.410%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.71%24.10%24.08%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.854.2027.78%25.85%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hibernian (Local): 54.94%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 20.94%; Draw: 24.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%EV +1.31%E +0.313%K +0.410%G +0.005%4.9%2026-10-17 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -1.57%E -0.335%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.10%E -0.268%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.86%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV -1.57%E -0.335%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV -1.10%E -0.268%K -0.354%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-17 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.23%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -0.526%E -0.111%K -0.140%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:15
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.51%E -0.878%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-17 13:15
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.14%EV -4.41%E -2.54%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.81%EV -3.46%E -0.750%K -0.958%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.05%EV -3.75%E -0.940%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-17 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.60%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.60%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.34%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.72%E -1.19%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.42%EV -4.41%E -2.54%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 20.05%EV +0.731%E +0.152%K +0.192%G +0.001%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.54%EV -5.20%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-17 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.06%E -3.54%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -3.67%E -0.797%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 13:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.44%EV -4.96%E -2.87%K -6.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.99%EV -6.06%E -3.54%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:24
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:31
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 13:23
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.92%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:34
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:30
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.00%EV -7.71%E -4.59%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.15%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -7.13%E -1.85%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-17 13:35
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.65%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV +0.521%E +0.109%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.39%EV -6.06%E -3.54%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.14%EV -7.86%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 13:15
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -9.32%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-17 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -12.10%E -7.56%K -20.17%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV +0.521%E +0.109%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.34%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:50
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -6.06%E -3.54%K -8.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -1.57%E -0.335%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.61%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-17 13:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.26%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.04%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.85%EV -9.91%E -6.04%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.16%EV -11.00%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.00%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -11.00%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.00%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.09%EV -11.00%E -2.59%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -9.54%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 13:34
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:15
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.43%EV -6.61%E -3.89%K -9.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-17 13:15
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.58%EV -7.16%E -4.24%K -10.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.76%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-17 13:57
Codere (IT)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.36%EV -8.26%E -4.94%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.11%EV -9.95%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -10.75%E -2.90%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-17 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.23%EV -10.45%E -6.41%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.56%EV -14.14%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.95%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-17 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 55.57%EV -14.85%E -9.58%K -27.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -12.04%E -2.87%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -13.16%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.60%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.74%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-10-17 13:55
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.57%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.04%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.88%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-10-17 13:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%1.9%2026-10-17 13:55