The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Hibernian v Falkirk F.C.

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hibernian (Local)

Prediction 57.21%1.75fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%57.19%57.27%59.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.641.651.7067.57%60.97%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visit)

Prediction 19.04%5.25fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.293%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 5.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.82%19.04%19.04%21.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.714.805.3223.53%21.21%20.83%18.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.75%4.21fair odd
EV -0.249%
Edge -0.059%
Kelly -0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.56%23.77%23.69%24.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.873.854.2027.40%25.82%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hibernian (Local): 57.21%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 19.04%; Draw: 23.75%. For Falkirk F.C. (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.32, producing a positive expected value of +1.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.24%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.82%EV +1.27%E +0.238%K +0.293%G +0.004%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.95%EV -1.91%E -0.463%K -0.611%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.249%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 17:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -0.249%E -0.059%K -0.078%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -2.62%E -0.640%K -0.846%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -11.32%E -7.30%K -20.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -4.82%E -0.965%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:20
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.73%EV -5.01%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.60%EV -5.95%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.31%E -4.51%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.88%E -4.90%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 17:58
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.73%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 17:15
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:25
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.60%E -3.39%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.63%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.94%E -2.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.46%E -5.29%K -14.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.58%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.00%E -1.25%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -9.03%E -5.68%K -15.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -10.53%E -2.24%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.56%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -2.74%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -2.74%E -1.61%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -3.88%E -2.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.34%E -3.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:09
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.41%EV -15.32%E -10.35%K -31.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.31%EV -16.25%E -3.69%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.28%EV -13.31%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-10 15:15
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -4.45%E -2.67%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -17.58%E -4.06%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -9.75%E -2.57%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.81%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -18.15%E -4.22%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.67%EV -6.17%E -3.76%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.10%E -4.49%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.12%E -3.28%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-10-10 15:25
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 56.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%13.8%2026-10-10 15:15