Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian v Falkirk F.C.

2026-10-17 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 57.38%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%57.30%57.42%59.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.481.641.651.7067.57%61.03%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.99%5.27cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.188%
Kelly +0.232%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 5.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.82%18.99%18.94%21.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.254.724.805.3223.53%21.18%20.83%18.80%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.64%4.23cote équitable
EV -0.719%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.225%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.56%23.71%23.64%24.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.653.883.854.2027.40%25.80%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Hibernian (Local) : 57.38% ; Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur) : 18.99% ; Match nul : 23.64%. Pour Falkirk F.C. (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.27. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.32, pour une espérance positive de +1.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.24%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.82%EV +1.00%E +0.188%K +0.232%G +0.002%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.95%EV -2.37%E -0.575%K -0.758%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.19%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%EV -0.719%E -0.171%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 17:55
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.75%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:14
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -0.719%E -0.171%K -0.225%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-10 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.08%E -0.752%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 17:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.92%E -6.32%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 20:30
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -11.07%E -7.14%K -20.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -5.07%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-10 14:20
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.68%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.73%EV -5.26%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.60%EV -6.39%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.97%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -7.62%E -4.74%K -12.50%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -6.97%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.97%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 17:58
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.40%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -6.97%E -1.42%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.86%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-10 17:15
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 17:15
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:25
William Hill🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.87%E -1.85%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -11.36%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -8.20%E -5.12%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -9.82%E -2.07%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.45%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.10%EV -8.77%E -5.52%K -14.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -10.77%E -2.29%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.99%E -2.34%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -14.57%E -3.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -14.57%E -3.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.57%E -3.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -14.57%E -3.24%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.81%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 17:30
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:09
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 57.41%EV -15.08%E -10.19%K -31.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.31%EV -16.46%E -3.74%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.28%EV -13.72%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-10 15:15
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -17.79%E -4.11%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.08%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 14:10
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.81%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -18.36%E -4.27%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-10 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.67%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.10%EV -19.31%E -4.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -12.54%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-10 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (2)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%7.1%2026-10-10 15:25
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 56.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%13.8%2026-10-10 15:15