Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 4.80
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 53.61%; St Johnstone (Visit): 21.77%; Draw: 24.62%. For St Johnstone (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.59. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.47%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +4.47%E +0.932%K +1.18%G +0.053% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +4.47%E +0.932%K +1.18%G +0.053% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -12.61%E -7.74%K -20.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV +0.121%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.121%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 10:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-29 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.54%EV -3.14%E -0.706%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.52%E -0.380%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -9.39%E -5.56%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -9.39%E -5.56%K -13.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.32%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -1.52%E -0.380%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.94%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -1.52%E -0.380%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-29 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-29 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.67%E -2.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.67%E -2.33%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-29 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -8.32%E -4.86%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-29 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.27%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.94%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55% | 1.8% | 2026-08-29 13:50 |