默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hearts v St Johnstone

开赛时间: 2026-08-29 14:00 UTC

最终结果: Hearts 2–1 St Johnstone

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (19 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hearts (主队)

预测 53.61%1.87公平赔率
EV -3.49%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -4.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.42%53.74%53.61%55.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.711.721.8062.50%58.48%58.14%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

St Johnstone (客队)

预测 21.77%4.59公平赔率
EV +4.47%
优势 +0.932%
Kelly +1.18%
增长率 +0.053%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布
19.47%21.64%21.70%22.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.384.404.8025.00%22.82%22.73%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.62%4.06公平赔率
EV -1.52%
优势 -0.380%
Kelly -0.507%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.23%24.61%24.69%26.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.553.773.794.0028.17%26.51%26.39%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Hearts (主队):53.61%;St Johnstone (客队):21.77%;平局:24.62%。 对于“St Johnstone (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.59。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.80,对应+4.47%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +4.47%E +0.932%K +1.18%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +4.47%E +0.932%K +1.18%G +0.053%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-29 13:40
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:40
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:40
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:40
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.83%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.489%K +0.621%G +0.014%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-29 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -12.61%E -7.74%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV +0.121%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-29 13:40
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.68%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV +0.121%E +0.026%K +0.034%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:49
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.70%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-29 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -13.14%E -8.11%K -21.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -14.22%E -8.89%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -2.06%E -0.457%K -0.587%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-29 13:40
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.56%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.54%EV -3.14%E -0.706%K -0.911%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.90%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-29 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.63%EV -3.49%E -1.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.94%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.44%EV -2.75%E -0.696%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-29 13:45
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.52%E -0.380%K -0.507%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.16%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 10:50
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 10:49
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.59%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 13:50
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:25
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.57%E -2.57%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-29 13:25
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -9.39%E -5.56%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.68%EV -9.39%E -5.56%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.00%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -4.23%E -0.962%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.68%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV -5.32%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-29 13:25
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.58%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -1.52%E -0.380%K -0.507%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 13:30
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:28
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -5.76%E -1.33%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 13:50
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.61%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.07%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-29 13:25
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -5.10%E -2.88%K -6.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -6.71%E -3.86%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.41%E -1.49%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.94%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-29 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.75%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.98%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.21%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:30
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.67%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -7.50%E -1.76%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.61%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-29 13:25
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 13:25
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -1.52%E -0.380%K -0.507%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-29 13:30
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:25
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -6.17%E -3.53%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-29 13:25
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -8.86%E -5.21%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.37%E -3.16%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-29 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -10.46%E -6.27%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.59%E -2.04%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -8.91%E -2.41%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-29 13:34
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.67%E -2.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:54
BetUS🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.78%E -4.52%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -9.67%E -2.33%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.42%EV -4.03%E -2.25%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.44%E -1.70%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-29 13:45
LeoVegas🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -7.25%E -4.19%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.68%E -2.05%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-29 13:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.03%EV -8.32%E -4.86%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -10.76%E -2.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -10.14%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-29 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.27%EV -11.54%E -6.99%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -12.94%E -3.23%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -12.60%E -3.55%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 13:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.24%0.1%2026-08-29 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-08-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.81%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-08-29 13:55
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.86%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.55%1.8%2026-08-29 13:50