Language:English
Hearts v Falkirk F.C.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hearts (Local)
Prediction 67.26%1.49fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -7.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.21%67.34%67.07%69.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.381.381.4477.52%72.47%72.46%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Falkirk F.C. (Visit)
Prediction 13.04%7.67fair odd
EV +4.33%
Edge +0.542%
Kelly +0.619%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.56%12.98%13.21%15.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.257.207.498.0016.00%13.88%13.35%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.70%5.08fair odd
EV +0.655%
Edge +0.128%
Kelly +0.159%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 5.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.27%19.69%19.72%20.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.714.755.1122.73%21.21%21.05%19.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hearts (Local): 67.26%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 13.04%; Draw: 19.70%. For Falkirk F.C. (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.67. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +4.33%E +0.542%K +0.619%G +0.027% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +4.33%E +0.542%K +0.619%G +0.027% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +4.33%E +0.542%K +0.619%G +0.027% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -3.48%E -0.710%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.83%EV +0.655%E +0.128%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.48%E -0.710%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.20%E -6.81%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -9.87%E -7.37%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -9.87%E -7.37%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -9.87%E -7.37%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.21%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.85%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.94%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -5.45%E -0.752%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.51%E -0.302%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -6.10%E -0.847%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.85%E -5.73%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.85%E -5.73%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -1.51%E -0.302%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -10.01%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.97%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.20%E -6.81%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.63%EV -13.93%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.76%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.04%EV -13.23%E -10.26%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.30%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.65%EV -13.33%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -18.49%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -18.49%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.77% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.77% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.55% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.38% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.47% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.46% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |