La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hearts v Falkirk F.C.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hearts (Local)
Predicción 67.26%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -7.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.21%67.34%67.07%69.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.381.381.4477.52%72.47%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)
Predicción 13.04%7.67momio equitativo
EV +4.33%
Ventaja +0.542%
Kelly +0.619%
Crecimiento +0.027%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.56%12.98%13.21%15.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.257.207.498.0016.00%13.88%13.35%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.70%5.08momio equitativo
EV +0.655%
Ventaja +0.128%
Kelly +0.159%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.27%19.69%19.72%20.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.714.755.1122.73%21.21%21.05%19.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +4.33%E +0.542%K +0.619%G +0.027% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV +4.33%E +0.542%K +0.619%G +0.027% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV +4.33%E +0.542%K +0.619%G +0.027% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.88%EV -3.48%E -0.710%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.42%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 5.11I 19.57%NM 18.83%EV +0.655%E +0.128%K +0.159%G +0.001% | 3.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.11%EV +1.07%E +0.138%K +0.159%G +0.002% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.86%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:57 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.07%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.82%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -3.48%E -0.710%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.00%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.68%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.16%EV -9.20%E -6.81%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -9.87%E -7.37%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -9.87%E -7.37%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.03%EV -9.87%E -7.37%K -29.03%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -2.19%E -0.292%K -0.337%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.21%EV -3.82%E -2.67%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.48I 13.37%NM 12.85%EV -2.45%E -0.327%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 4.82I 20.75%NM 19.94%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -5.45%E -0.752%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -1.51%E -0.302%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.96%EV -6.10%E -0.847%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.85%E -5.73%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -7.85%E -5.73%K -21.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BetUS | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -10.54%E -7.93%K -31.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -8.71%E -1.24%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -1.51%E -0.302%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betsson | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.47%EV -5.16%E -3.66%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.58%EV -10.01%E -1.45%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -7.42%E -1.58%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -11.97%E -1.77%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -9.39%E -2.04%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -9.20%E -6.81%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 13.63%EV -13.93%E -2.11%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.76%EV -10.38%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.72%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -5.45%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -5.84%E -4.17%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -7.18%E -5.20%K -18.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -8.53%E -6.27%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.04%EV -13.23%E -10.26%K -45.63%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.30%EV -15.23%E -2.34%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.65%EV -13.33%E -3.03%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Neds | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -18.49%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.21%EV -3.14%E -2.18%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -18.49%E -2.96%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -6.44%E -1.35%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-13 18:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.77% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.77% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 11.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 0.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.76% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.55% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.50% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.38% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.71% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.47% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.46% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.07% | 5.2% | 2026-05-13 19:00 |