Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. v St Mirren

Início: 2026-08-01 14:00 UTC

Final: Falkirk F.C. 0–2 St Mirren

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Previsão 44.31%2.26odd justa
EV -2.52%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.88%44.50%44.24%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.892.072.102.2052.91%48.32%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Mirren (Visitante)

Previsão 28.44%3.52odd justa
EV +3.80%
Vantagem +1.04%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescimento +0.054%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.26%28.33%28.44%29.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.343.253.6531.75%29.90%30.77%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.25%3.67odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -0.525%
Kelly -0.727%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.97%27.17%27.32%28.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.453.453.6030.77%28.96%28.99%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Falkirk F.C. (Local): 44.31%; St Mirren (Visitante): 28.44%; Empate: 27.25%. Para St Mirren (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.52. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.65, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.80%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -16.25%E -8.60%K -18.26%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV +3.80%E +1.04%K +1.43%G +0.054%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +2.37%E +0.660%K +0.913%G +0.022%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV +2.37%E +0.660%K +0.913%G +0.022%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV +2.37%E +0.660%K +0.913%G +0.022%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -12.71%E -6.45%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +2.37%E +0.660%K +0.913%G +0.022%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -12.71%E -6.45%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +2.37%E +0.660%K +0.913%G +0.022%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.57%EV -12.71%E -6.45%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV +2.37%E +0.660%K +0.913%G +0.022%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.953%E +0.268%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.57%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV +0.953%E +0.268%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.25%E -0.916%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 13:20
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -13.15%E -6.71%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +0.953%E +0.268%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -13.15%E -6.71%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +0.953%E +0.268%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 13:49
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.35%EV -13.15%E -6.71%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV +0.953%E +0.268%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -14.48%E -7.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -0.469%E -0.134%K -0.188%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-01 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -14.93%E -7.77%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -1.89%E -0.548%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -14.93%E -7.77%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -1.89%E -0.548%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.33%EV -14.93%E -7.77%K -16.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -1.89%E -0.548%K -0.772%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-01 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.58%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.99%EV -2.18%E -0.632%K -0.892%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.43%EV -4.34%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.31%E -0.974%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-01 13:39
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-01 13:50
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 13:54
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.73%E -1.41%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 13:40
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.70%EV -5.02%E -1.50%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.70%EV -2.16%E -0.602%K -0.835%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.70%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -6.16%E -1.87%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:45
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:44
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.94%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 13:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.89%E -0.525%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 13:45
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-01 13:50
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 13:55
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:48
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.82%EV -5.62%E -2.64%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -8.70%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 13:54
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.70%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.32%EV -11.82%E -5.94%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -7.58%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -8.70%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.52%E -1.14%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.98%E -1.73%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 13:55
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.88%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -8.70%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.61%E -1.32%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.06%E -2.86%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.70%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 13:48
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:55
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-01 13:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.16%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.07%E -3.05%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-01 13:45
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -9.00%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.34%E -2.16%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.81%EV -12.71%E -6.45%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.03%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.43%E -3.52%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-01 13:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 44.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.72%0.2%2026-08-01 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-01 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-01 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-08-01 13:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 44.21%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%1.0%2026-08-01 13:55
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.13%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.43%2.1%2026-08-01 13:55