La escuela de los momios

Falkirk F.C. v St Mirren

2026-08-01 14:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Falkirk F.C. (Local)

Predicción 46.84%2.14momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -3.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.51%46.86%46.81%48.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.961.972.0553.48%51.05%50.76%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St Mirren (Visitante)

Predicción 26.80%3.73momio equitativo
EV -1.11%
Ventaja -0.301%
Kelly -0.413%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.80%26.77%26.83%27.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.463.503.6931.25%28.90%28.57%27.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.36%3.79momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.303%
Kelly -0.414%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.37%26.35%27.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.563.553.7530.30%28.12%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -3.98%E -1.94%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 23:29
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 23:34
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 23:34
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -5.39%E -2.67%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 23:34
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.80%EV -1.11%E -0.301%K -0.413%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.59%EV -5.62%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-22 11:04
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 14:35
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.52%E -0.979%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 14:35
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 14:35
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 14:35
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.09%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 23:29
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 17:25
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 23:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 16:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 16:25
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 16:25
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.33%E -3.16%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 16:25
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 16:50
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.55%EV -7.26%E -3.67%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 11:24
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -7.73%E -3.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 14:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -7.73%E -3.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 13:35
Codere (IT)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -7.73%E -3.92%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 16:25
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.56%EV -8.20%E -4.18%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -4.60%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.41%E -1.81%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 16:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.67%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 17:45
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.67%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 11:04
betano_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.67%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 10:20
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.67%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.73%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-21 11:33
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -8.67%E -4.44%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-25 14:05
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 47.42%EV -9.14%E -4.71%K -9.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -9.05%E -2.62%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 11:00
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:30
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.14%E -0.303%K -0.414%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 23:29
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.46%E -0.664%K -0.909%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-30 23:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -10.54%E -5.52%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -7.54%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 23:29
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -11.48%E -6.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 23:29
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -11.48%E -6.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-30 23:29
Unibet (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -11.48%E -6.07%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.99%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -13.00%E -3.94%K -5.65%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-17 14:04
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.36%EV -11.95%E -6.35%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-16 17:30
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.85%EV -12.41%E -6.64%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -10.36%E -3.05%K -4.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-10 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 45.96%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%12.2%2026-07-25 14:10