The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Dundee United v Motherwell

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee United (Local)

Prediction 44.70%2.24fair odd
EV +0.571%
Edge +0.254%
Kelly +0.457%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.55%44.88%44.61%47.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.102.102.2554.05%47.62%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Motherwell (Visit)

Prediction 30.09%3.32fair odd
EV +3.82%
Edge +1.11%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.060%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.61%29.91%30.22%31.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.033.003.4535.71%33.04%33.33%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.21%3.97fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.433%
Kelly -0.582%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.18%25.21%25.16%25.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.663.653.9029.85%27.34%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Dundee United (Local): 44.70%; Motherwell (Visit): 30.09%; Draw: 25.21%. For Motherwell (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.45, producing a positive expected value of +3.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02%EV -9.26%E -4.56%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +3.82%E +1.11%K +1.56%G +0.060%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.32%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV +0.814%E +0.243%K +0.346%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV +0.814%E +0.243%K +0.346%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.94%E -6.06%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -0.691%E -0.209%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.20%E -0.675%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -2.20%E -0.675%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:00
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -9.26%E -4.56%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -2.50%E -0.770%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.05%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.71%EV -2.50%E -0.770%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -6.23%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 17:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -1.69%E -0.433%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.95%E -0.766%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV +0.571%E +0.254%K +0.457%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV +0.571%E +0.254%K +0.457%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.69%E -0.433%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -7.47%E -3.61%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 15:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 15:01
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:01
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:01
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.43%EV -17.31%E -9.36%K -20.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.49%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -15.55%E -4.64%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 15:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 44.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-10-31 18:01
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%13.4%2026-10-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%141.3%2026-10-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%141.3%2026-10-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%141.3%2026-10-31 18:00
Arbitrage (24 combinations) +0.94%Svenska Spel 2.25 (44.9%) / Pinnacle 3.45 (29.3%) / Betr (AU) 3.90 (25.9%)Show all 24 combinations
Dundee United (Local)Motherwell (Visit)DrawMargin
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.7%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.2%)Coolbet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.600%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.7%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.2%)Coolbet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.600%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Bet Right🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Bet Right🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.0%)Pinnacle🎯 3.77 (26.5%)+0.045%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.0%)Pinnacle🎯 3.77 (26.5%)+0.045%