Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee United v Motherwell

2026-11-07 15:00 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee United (Local)

Predicción 44.70%2.24momio equitativo
EV +0.571%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.457%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.55%44.88%44.61%47.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.852.102.102.2554.05%47.62%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Motherwell (Visitante)

Predicción 30.09%3.32momio equitativo
EV +3.82%
Ventaja +1.11%
Kelly +1.56%
Crecimiento +0.060%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.61%29.91%30.22%31.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.033.003.4535.71%33.04%33.33%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.21%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.69%
Ventaja -0.433%
Kelly -0.582%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.18%25.21%25.16%25.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.663.653.9029.85%27.34%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Dundee United (Local): 44.70%; Motherwell (Visitante): 30.09%; Empate: 25.21%. Para Motherwell (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.45, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +3.82%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02%EV -9.26%E -4.56%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +3.82%E +1.11%K +1.56%G +0.060%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.32%EV -4.97%E -1.32%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-31 16:15
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV +0.814%E +0.243%K +0.346%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV +0.814%E +0.243%K +0.346%G +0.003%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Bovada🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -11.94%E -6.06%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -0.691%E -0.209%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -11.50%E -5.81%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -2.20%E -0.675%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -12.84%E -6.58%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -2.20%E -0.675%K -0.976%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 18:00
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -9.26%E -4.56%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.84%EV -2.50%E -0.770%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.28%EV -10.16%E -5.05%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.71%EV -2.50%E -0.770%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.01%EV -6.23%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 17:55
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -1.69%E -0.433%K -0.582%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.99%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -2.95%E -0.766%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 13:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.71%E -2.16%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV +0.571%E +0.254%K +0.457%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.92%EV +0.571%E +0.254%K +0.457%G +0.003%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.90%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.69%E -0.433%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 16:20
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -8.21%E -2.69%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -4.21%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.73%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -7.47%E -3.61%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.72%E -3.24%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.51%E -2.96%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 15:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -2.56%E -1.17%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -11.22%E -3.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.56%EV -7.99%E -2.19%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 15:01
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:01
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:01
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -3.90%E -1.81%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.25%E -2.57%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.73%E -4.39%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-31 16:35
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.28%EV -8.37%E -4.08%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.52%EV -13.33%E -4.63%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -5.47%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.47%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.66%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.43%EV -17.31%E -9.36%K -20.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.49%EV -14.23%E -4.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.09%EV -15.55%E -4.64%K -6.62%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 15:01
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -6.13%E -2.92%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -15.74%E -5.62%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.77%E -3.36%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 44.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-10-31 19:45
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 43.66%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%13.4%2026-10-31 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%141.3%2026-10-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%141.3%2026-10-31 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.33I 75.19%NM 31.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 37.68%141.3%2026-10-31 18:00
Arbitraje (24 combinaciones) +0.94%Svenska Spel 2.25 (44.9%) / Pinnacle 3.45 (29.3%) / Betr (AU) 3.90 (25.9%)Ver las 24 combinaciones
Dundee United (Local)Motherwell (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.9%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.3%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.938%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.7%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.2%)Coolbet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.600%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.7%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.2%)Coolbet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.600%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Bet Right🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Fanatics🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.6%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.1%)Bet Right🎯 3.80 (26.4%)+0.255%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)PointsBet (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Betsson🎯 3.35 (29.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.7%)+0.064%
Svenska Spel🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.0%)Pinnacle🎯 3.77 (26.5%)+0.045%
ATG (SE)🎯 2.25 (44.5%)Pinnacle🎯 3.45 (29.0%)Pinnacle🎯 3.77 (26.5%)+0.045%