Language:English
Dundee United v Livingston
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee United (Local)
Prediction 57.09%1.75fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.58%57.04%57.09%58.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.631.631.6964.10%61.39%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Livingston (Visit)
Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.374%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 5.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.89%19.15%19.12%20.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.924.955.3022.22%20.31%20.20%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.74%4.21fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -0.857%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.15%23.82%23.79%25.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.913.954.1027.03%25.58%25.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 57.09%; Livingston (Visit): 19.17%; Draw: 23.74%. For Livingston (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.95%E -4.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +1.61%E +0.304%K +0.374%G +0.006% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.10%EV -5.24%E -3.15%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.28I 18.94%NM 18.27%EV +1.23%E +0.232%K +0.286%G +0.004% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.13%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.33%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV +0.650%E +0.124%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.33%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV +0.650%E +0.124%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -0.309%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -0.309%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.24%EV -6.95%E -4.26%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.66%E -0.648%K -0.857%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.93%EV -2.80%E -0.552%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.59%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -6.93%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.78%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.78%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -10.37%E -6.61%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.10%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.10%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.37%E -6.61%K -18.20%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -6.06%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -10.95%E -7.02%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -6.06%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.02%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.38%E -3.89%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.38%E -3.89%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -6.38%E -3.89%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.78%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.59%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -10.95%E -7.02%K -19.55%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.59%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -13.73%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 14:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 14:01 |