Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee United v Livingston

Início: 2026-04-11 14:02 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee United (Local)

Previsão 57.09%1.75odd justa
EV -3.52%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -5.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.58%57.04%57.09%58.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.631.631.6964.10%61.39%61.35%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Livingston (Visitante)

Previsão 19.17%5.22odd justa
EV +1.61%
Vantagem +0.304%
Kelly +0.374%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.89%19.15%19.12%20.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.924.955.3022.22%20.31%20.20%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.74%4.21odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -0.648%
Kelly -0.857%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.15%23.82%23.79%25.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.703.913.954.1027.03%25.58%25.32%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundee United (Local): 57.09%; Livingston (Visitante): 19.17%; Empate: 23.74%. Para Livingston (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.22. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.61%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.95%E -4.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV +1.61%E +0.304%K +0.374%G +0.006%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 14:01
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.10%EV -5.24%E -3.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 18.27%EV +1.23%E +0.232%K +0.286%G +0.004%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.64%EV -3.13%E -0.767%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.33%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV +0.650%E +0.124%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.33%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV +0.650%E +0.124%K +0.153%G +0.001%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 14:01
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -0.309%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -0.309%E -0.059%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.24%EV -6.95%E -4.26%K -11.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.61%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -2.66%E -0.648%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.05%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.85%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.26%EV -2.23%E -0.436%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 13:58
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.52%E -2.09%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.07I 19.72%NM 18.93%EV -2.80%E -0.552%K -0.688%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 13:59
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.59%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.79%EV -6.93%E -1.77%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 14:00
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 14:00
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.13%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -9.78%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 14:01
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.28%EV -8.09%E -5.03%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.78%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.76%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -10.37%E -6.61%K -18.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.14%E -0.829%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 14:00
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.10%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.11%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.04%EV -5.10%E -1.03%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.22%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.37%E -6.61%K -18.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -6.06%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -10.95%E -7.02%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -6.06%E -1.24%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.17%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -7.02%E -1.45%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.94%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 13:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -12.15%E -3.28%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 14:00
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.06%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.67%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -7.98%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 14:00
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.38%E -3.89%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -6.38%E -3.89%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 13:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.81%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 13:59
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -6.38%E -3.89%K -9.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.40%E -1.90%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 13:59
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -10.97%E -2.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 14:00
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.94%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.78%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 14:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -8.59%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -10.95%E -7.02%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -11.81%E -2.57%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -8.59%E -2.23%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 13:59
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -4.67%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -13.73%E -3.05%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.03%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.87%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-04-11 14:00
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.45%1.5%2026-04-11 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.20%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-04-11 14:01
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%2.4%2026-04-11 14:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 57.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%6.9%2026-04-11 14:01