Language:English
Dundee United v Kilmarnock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee United (Local)
Prediction 48.81%2.05fair odd
EV -4.83%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -5.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.79%48.81%49.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.901.911.9558.14%52.65%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kilmarnock (Visit)
Prediction 24.99%4.00fair odd
EV +0.471%
Edge +0.117%
Kelly +0.156%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%24.97%24.95%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.743.754.0229.85%26.75%26.67%24.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.466%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.08%26.23%26.24%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.543.553.7531.25%28.21%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee United (Local): 48.81%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 24.99%; Draw: 26.20%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.471%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.06%EV +0.471%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.029%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.25%EV -1.03%E -0.260%K -0.347%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV -4.11%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.53%E -0.648%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.466%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -1.75%E -0.466%K -0.635%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.78%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.78%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.61%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.65%EV -13.12%E -7.37%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -16.05%E -9.33%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -16.27%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |