La escuela de los momios

Dundee United v Kilmarnock

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee United (Local)

Predicción 48.81%2.05momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -5.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.00%48.79%48.81%49.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.901.911.9558.14%52.65%52.36%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Kilmarnock (Visitante)

Predicción 24.99%4.00momio equitativo
EV +0.471%
Ventaja +0.117%
Kelly +0.156%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.84%24.97%24.95%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.743.754.0229.85%26.75%26.67%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.20%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.466%
Kelly -0.635%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.08%26.23%26.24%27.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.543.553.7531.25%28.21%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.59%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.06%EV +0.471%E +0.117%K +0.156%G +0.001%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.84%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 14:40
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.029%E -0.007%K -0.010%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:40
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.51%EV -5.32%E -2.74%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.25%EV -1.03%E -0.260%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV -4.11%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 14:45
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.53%E -0.648%K -0.872%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:30
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.63%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:30
LeoVegas1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -3.78%E -0.981%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.33%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.41%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 48.92%EV -5.80%E -3.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 14:35
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:35
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 14:35
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:35
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:30
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -8.24%E -4.38%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:30
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -5.03%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.02%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.75%E -0.466%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:55
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 49.37%EV -8.73%E -4.67%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:29
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -9.71%E -5.25%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:30
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Sky Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -1.75%E -0.466%K -0.635%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -7.27%E -3.83%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:50
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.43%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.53%E -2.03%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 14:30
Bet Right1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.29%E -3.28%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.78%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.99%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 14:50
PlayUp1.91I 52.36%NM 48.33%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.78%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.06%E -0.826%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:35
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.83%E -2.48%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:39
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.78%E -3.55%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.68%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.24%EV -7.76%E -4.10%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.61%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 14:55
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.68%E -5.84%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.03%E -2.78%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.30%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-21 14:34
Parions Sport (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.56%EV -10.20%E -5.54%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.17%EV -11.28%E -3.18%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -10.92%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 14:55
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.65%EV -13.12%E -7.37%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.10%EV -13.77%E -3.99%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.54%E -4.10%K -5.89%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-21 14:55
PMU (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -16.05%E -9.33%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -16.27%E -4.86%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.16%E -5.05%K -7.34%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-21 14:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%1.2%2026-02-21 14:45