La scuola delle quote

Dundee FC v St Mirren

Inizio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Finale: Dundee FC 1–0 St Mirren

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Dundee FC (Casa)

Previsione 41.09%2.43quota equa
EV -0.160%
Vantaggio -0.066%
Kelly -0.112%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.43

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.00%41.02%41.02%42.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.54%43.48%41.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

St Mirren (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.10%3.32quota equa
EV -0.055%
Vantaggio -0.016%
Kelly -0.024%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.32

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.76%30.21%30.18%33.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.753.013.023.3236.36%33.26%33.06%30.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.81%3.47quota equa
EV -2.05%
Vantaggio -0.602%
Kelly -0.853%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.33%28.77%28.79%29.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.973.273.303.4033.67%30.62%30.30%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%EV -0.160%E -0.066%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%EV -0.160%E -0.066%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -0.055%E -0.016%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:15
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -0.356%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -4.64%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:21
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:41
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -9.20%E -4.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -9.20%E -4.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:48
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.16%E -0.665%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.66%E -5.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.22%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.64%EV -12.10%E -4.14%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.14%EV -14.44%E -4.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55