La escuela de los momios

Dundee FC v St Mirren

Inicio: 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Final: Dundee FC 1–0 St Mirren

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee FC (Local)

Predicción 41.09%2.43momio equitativo
EV -0.160%
Ventaja -0.066%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%41.02%41.02%42.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.54%43.48%41.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

St Mirren (Visitante)

Predicción 30.10%3.32momio equitativo
EV -0.055%
Ventaja -0.016%
Kelly -0.024%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.76%30.21%30.18%33.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.023.3236.36%33.26%33.06%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.81%3.47momio equitativo
EV -2.05%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.853%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.33%28.77%28.79%29.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.973.273.303.4033.67%30.62%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%EV -0.160%E -0.066%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%EV -0.160%E -0.066%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -0.055%E -0.016%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:15
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -0.356%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -4.64%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:21
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:41
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -9.20%E -4.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -9.20%E -4.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:48
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.16%E -0.665%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.66%E -5.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.22%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.64%EV -12.10%E -4.14%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.14%EV -14.44%E -4.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55