L’École des cotes

Dundee FC v St Mirren

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 14:00 UTC

Score final : Dundee FC 1–0 St Mirren

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dundee FC (Local)

Prévision 41.09%2.43cote équitable
EV -0.160%
Avantage -0.066%
Kelly -0.112%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.00%41.02%41.02%42.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.302.302.4347.62%43.54%43.48%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

St Mirren (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.10%3.32cote équitable
EV -0.055%
Avantage -0.016%
Kelly -0.024%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.76%30.21%30.18%33.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.753.013.023.3236.36%33.26%33.06%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.81%3.47cote équitable
EV -2.05%
Avantage -0.602%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.33%28.77%28.79%29.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.973.273.303.4033.67%30.62%30.30%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%EV -0.160%E -0.066%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.09%EV -0.160%E -0.066%K -0.112%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.94%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -1.39%E -0.580%K -0.994%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.06%EV -2.21%E -0.930%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.20%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -14.20%E -4.98%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 13:41
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -15.71%E -5.61%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 13:55
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -4.27%E -1.83%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -17.21%E -6.26%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -0.055%E -0.016%K -0.024%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.15%EV -4.35%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-02 13:50
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.23%EV -4.68%E -2.02%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.60%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:55
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.83%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:24
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 13:25
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:15
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 13:55
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -5.50%E -2.39%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.70%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:15
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -0.356%E -0.107%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -4.64%E -1.40%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-02 13:50
Marathon Bet2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -5.91%E -2.58%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:55
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.67%E -1.15%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 13:55
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:25
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -2.05%E -0.602%K -0.853%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:25
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:20
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:21
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 13:41
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 41.29%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 13:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:15
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.56%E -3.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.68%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 13:25
BetUS2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -9.20%E -4.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:50
Bovada2.21I 45.25%NM 41.61%EV -9.20%E -4.16%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 13:48
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.16%E -0.665%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 13:55
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.61%E -4.37%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 13:04
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -11.66%E -5.43%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -9.69%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -9.25%E -2.94%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 13:25
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.22%EV -13.72%E -6.53%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.64%EV -12.10%E -4.14%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.14%EV -14.44%E -4.86%K -7.33%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-02 13:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.28%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.14%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.58%0.9%2026-05-02 13:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%1.0%2026-05-02 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-05-02 13:55
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-05-02 13:55