Language:English
Dundee FC v Motherwell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dundee FC (Local)
Prediction 22.01%4.54fair odd
EV +3.43%
Edge +0.731%
Kelly +0.928%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 4.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.22%21.91%22.04%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.174.184.7025.64%23.98%23.95%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motherwell (Visit)
Prediction 51.66%1.94fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.82%51.70%51.66%53.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.811.821.8962.50%55.17%54.95%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV -0.450%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.162%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.78%26.39%26.30%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.513.503.7831.25%28.46%28.57%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee FC (Local): 22.01%; Motherwell (Visit): 51.66%; Draw: 26.34%. For Dundee FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.54. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +3.43%E +0.731%K +0.928%G +0.032% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -8.05%E -4.52%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +3.43%E +0.731%K +0.928%G +0.032% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -8.05%E -4.52%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.09%EV +0.793%E +0.173%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.95%E -2.69%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -3.61%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -0.967%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -0.967%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.17%E -0.720%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.17%E -0.720%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -3.40%E -1.82%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-07 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.30%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.20%EV -4.95%E -2.69%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -0.450%E -0.119%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -1.24%E -0.331%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.24%E -0.331%K -0.451%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.63%E -6.15%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.67%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.67%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.17%EV -2.37%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.17%EV -2.37%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -6.50%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.07%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -13.07%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -7.53%E -4.21%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -10.12%E -5.81%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.55%EV -13.22%E -7.87%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.48%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -17.35%E -10.84%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.17%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |