La escuela de los momios

Dundee FC v Motherwell

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee FC (Local)

Predicción 22.01%4.54momio equitativo
EV +3.43%
Ventaja +0.731%
Kelly +0.928%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.22%21.91%22.04%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.174.184.7025.64%23.98%23.95%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Motherwell (Visitante)

Predicción 51.66%1.94momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.82%51.70%51.66%53.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.811.821.8962.50%55.17%54.95%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.34%3.80momio equitativo
EV -0.450%
Ventaja -0.119%
Kelly -0.162%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%26.39%26.30%27.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.513.503.7831.25%28.46%28.57%26.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +3.43%E +0.731%K +0.928%G +0.032%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -8.05%E -4.52%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:54
LowVig.ag4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV +3.43%E +0.731%K +0.928%G +0.032%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -8.05%E -4.52%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.40%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Pinnacle4.58I 21.83%NM 21.09%EV +0.793%E +0.173%K +0.222%G +0.002%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.95%E -2.69%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.40%EV -3.61%E -0.987%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-07 14:44
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -0.967%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -0.967%E -0.215%K -0.276%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:55
SportsBet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.17%E -0.720%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Paddy Power4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -3.17%E -0.720%K -0.932%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Victor4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.20%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:40
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -4.71%E -1.09%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:15
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 14:25
Fanatics4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -3.40%E -1.82%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 13:49
Marathon Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.30%E -2.07%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:50
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -5.37%E -1.25%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.96%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:24
1xBet4.29I 23.31%NM 22.39%EV -5.59%E -1.30%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.20%EV -4.95%E -2.69%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.41%EV -0.450%E -0.119%K -0.162%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:45
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -6.47%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:44
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.71%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.51%EV -1.24%E -0.331%K -0.451%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 14:34
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Betway4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.06%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 13:54
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Sky Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -9.60%E -5.49%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -1.24%E -0.331%K -0.451%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:25
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:25
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:24
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:15
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -7.57%E -1.80%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.46%EV -10.63%E -6.15%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:19
NordicBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -8.67%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.45%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Betsson4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.67%E -2.09%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:20
ATG (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.17%EV -2.37%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:30
Svenska Spel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.17%EV -2.37%E -1.25%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -6.51%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:29
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.30%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:44
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -6.50%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -5.19%E -1.44%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:00
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -9.77%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.92%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 14:04
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:20
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:20
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -2.89%E -1.53%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:19
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:30
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:29
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:30
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.82%E -2.24%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:30
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.14%EV -11.97%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.03%EV -4.43%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.83%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -13.07%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:29
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -13.07%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.71%EV -7.53%E -4.21%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.14%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:29
LiveScore Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:30
Virgin Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -5.98%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:30
Parions Sport (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.79%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.07%EV -10.12%E -5.81%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.46%E -3.08%K -4.36%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 14:34
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 22.21%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.55%EV -13.22%E -7.87%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.24%EV -13.09%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%15.5%2026-03-07 14:44
PMU (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 21.48%EV -14.17%E -3.63%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.35%EV -17.35%E -10.84%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.17%EV -15.73%E -4.91%K -7.15%G +0.000%19.4%2026-03-07 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-07 14:55
Matchbook4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.08%0.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.35%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.24%3.0%2026-03-07 14:54