Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee FC v Aberdeen

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 14:02 UTC

Final: Dundee FC 2–0 Aberdeen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dundee FC (Local)

Prediction 33.09%3.02fair odd
EV +2.57%
Edge +0.828%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.99%33.21%33.05%35.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.773.1040.00%36.19%36.04%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aberdeen (Visit)

Prediction 39.07%2.56fair odd
EV -0.366%
Edge -0.144%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%39.01%39.10%41.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.412.412.5544.44%41.53%41.58%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.84%3.59fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.455%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.78%27.85%28.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.303.5531.75%29.91%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dundee FC (Local): 33.09%; Aberdeen (Visit): 39.07%; Draw: 27.84%. For Dundee FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.57%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV +2.57%E +0.828%K +1.22%G +0.031%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV -10.52%E -4.60%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -1.16%E -0.327%K -0.455%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 13:52
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -2.07%E -0.698%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.31%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 13:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -2.07%E -0.698%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.31%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 13:40
BetUS🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.67%EV -2.07%E -0.698%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.31%EV -3.88%E -1.58%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.03%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 13:45
Pinnacle🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -2.40%E -0.812%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.13%EV -3.49%E -1.41%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.10%EV -4.22%E -1.23%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-08 13:59
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.05%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 14:00
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.05%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 13:44
Betsson🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.06%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.34%EV -5.45%E -2.25%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.60%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:43
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 13:44
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:55
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -4.71%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 13:54
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 13:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 14:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.85%EV -6.04%E -2.13%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.84%E -2.42%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.44%EV -8.68%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -2.55%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -2.55%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 13:45
DraftKings🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.57%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.37%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 13:49
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -10.13%E -4.41%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -2.55%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.81%EV -7.36%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.93%EV -7.79%E -3.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.55%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -2.55%E -0.730%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:45
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 13:19
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 13:14
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.01%E -2.94%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.18%E -3.48%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 13:49
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -3.95%E -1.14%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 13:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -4.27%E -1.74%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 13:19
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.67%E -3.95%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -5.34%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 13:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.96%EV -11.66%E -4.37%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.11%EV -12.09%E -5.37%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -12.30%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-08 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.366%E -0.144%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.366%E -0.144%K -0.236%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.73%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 13:59
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:00
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -13.98%E -5.38%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -2.32%E -0.928%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -15.63%E -6.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -15.63%E -6.13%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -5.05%E -2.08%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -10.91%E -3.41%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-08 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -17.29%E -6.91%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -12.30%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -17.29%E -6.91%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -12.30%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.27%EV -17.29%E -6.91%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.74%EV -6.23%E -2.59%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.99%EV -12.30%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-08 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-08 14:00
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.34%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%1.3%2026-08-08 14:00
Kalshi3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-08 13:55