Language:English
Celtic v Rangers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celtic (Local)
Prediction 51.71%1.93fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%51.79%51.67%53.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.821.9159.88%55.05%54.95%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rangers (Visit)
Prediction 24.24%4.13fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.431%
Kelly +0.566%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.27%24.20%24.31%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.783.804.2028.57%26.42%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.05%4.16fair odd
EV +1.00%
Edge +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.80%24.01%24.02%24.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.863.854.2028.17%25.90%25.97%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 51.71%; Rangers (Visit): 24.24%; Draw: 24.05%. For Rangers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.81%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.81%E +0.431%K +0.566%G +0.010% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 10:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.85%E -2.64%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV +0.113%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 4.01I 24.94%NM 24.09%EV -3.57%E -0.890%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -0.614%E -0.150%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -0.614%E -0.150%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -0.614%E -0.150%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 10:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 10:58 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -6.40%E -3.54%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -1.23%E -0.644%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -1.23%E -0.644%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.67%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 10:58 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.70%EV -13.64%E -8.17%K -20.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -14.63%E -4.12%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 10:57 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 10:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 11:00 |