L’École des cotes

Celtic v Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 11:02 UTC

Score final : Celtic 3–1 Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Celtic (Local)

Prévision 51.71%1.93cote équitable
EV -1.23%
Avantage -0.644%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.73%51.79%51.67%53.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.821.821.9159.88%55.05%54.95%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.24%4.13cote équitable
EV +1.81%
Avantage +0.431%
Kelly +0.566%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.27%24.20%24.31%26.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.783.804.2028.57%26.42%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.05%4.16cote équitable
EV +1.00%
Avantage +0.238%
Kelly +0.313%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.80%24.01%24.02%24.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.863.854.2028.17%25.90%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -10.02%E -5.76%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV +1.81%E +0.431%K +0.566%G +0.010%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 10:58
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.51%EV -4.85%E -2.64%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.39%EV +0.113%E +0.027%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.09%EV -3.57%E -0.890%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 10:59
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV -0.614%E -0.150%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -0.614%E -0.150%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 10:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.98%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -0.614%E -0.150%K -0.198%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:00
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-10 11:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 10:59
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.50%E -5.43%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -3.04%E -0.759%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 10:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.90%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 10:59
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.31%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-10 10:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 10:59
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 10:59
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.28%EV -7.66%E -1.99%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 11:00
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 10:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:58
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -5.46%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -11.02%E -2.98%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.33%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.80%EV +1.00%E +0.238%K +0.313%G +0.003%4.4%2026-05-10 10:59
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:00
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:59
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -7.95%E -4.47%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -6.67%E -1.73%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 10:59
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 10:59
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-10 10:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.92%E -3.84%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.89%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 10:59
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 10:59
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.10%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 10:59
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.36%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.81%E -0.952%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 10:59
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 10:59
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.21%EV -5.88%E -3.23%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 10:59
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -6.40%E -3.54%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -10.31%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 10:59
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -1.23%E -0.644%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:59
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 49.83%EV -1.23%E -0.644%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.08%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.01%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 10:59
Unibet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.67%EV -10.54%E -6.09%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.52%E -3.16%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 10:58
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:59
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -2.78%E -1.48%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.21%E -1.59%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 10:59
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 10:59
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 10:59
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 10:59
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -3.30%E -1.76%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 10:59
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.09%EV -12.09%E -7.11%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 10:59
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.70%EV -13.64%E -8.17%K -20.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -12.73%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -14.63%E -4.12%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-10 10:59
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.42%E -1.93%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 10:57
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.80%EV -4.33%E -2.34%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.95%EV -13.95%E -3.93%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.62%E -2.27%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:00
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 10:59
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 10:59
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.37%E -2.93%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -15.16%E -4.33%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.82%E -2.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-10 10:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-10 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-05-10 11:00
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-05-10 11:00
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-05-10 10:59
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.51%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.76%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%1.0%2026-05-10 11:00