Language:English
Celtic v Falkirk F.C.
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Celtic (Local)
Prediction 65.12%1.54fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%65.24%65.07%66.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.59%70.67%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Falkirk F.C. (Visit)
Prediction 15.32%6.53fair odd
EV +3.42%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.594%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 6.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.81%15.23%15.40%16.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.196.006.7518.18%16.16%16.67%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.56%5.11fair odd
EV -0.261%
Edge -0.051%
Kelly -0.064%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.16%19.53%19.54%20.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.744.755.1022.73%21.08%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Celtic (Local): 65.12%; Falkirk F.C. (Visit): 15.32%; Draw: 19.56%. For Falkirk F.C. (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.53. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.42%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.17%E -0.851%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.17%E -0.851%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -10.13%E -7.34%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.57%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.57%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -11.43%E -8.41%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.75%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.31I 15.85%NM 15.00%EV -3.32%E -0.527%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.24%EV -3.78%E -0.768%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.24%E -0.679%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.24%E -0.679%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.62%E -2.45%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.62%E -2.45%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 07:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:42 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -0.261%E -0.051%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -11.14%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -11.14%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -11.14%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.12%EV -13.39%E -10.07%K -40.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.19%EV -12.67%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.69%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -14.20%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.48%EV -11.02%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.99%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 08:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |