La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Celtic v Falkirk F.C.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Celtic (Local)
Predicción 65.12%1.54momio equitativo
EV -3.62%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -7.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.24%65.07%66.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.421.421.4875.19%70.59%70.67%67.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)
Predicción 15.32%6.53momio equitativo
EV +3.42%
Ventaja +0.506%
Kelly +0.594%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.81%15.23%15.40%16.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.196.006.7518.18%16.16%16.67%14.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 19.56%5.11momio equitativo
EV -0.261%
Ventaja -0.051%
Kelly -0.064%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.16%19.53%19.54%20.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.404.744.755.1022.73%21.08%21.05%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.17%E -0.851%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.50%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -4.17%E -0.851%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.26%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 19:20 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.55%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV +3.42%E +0.506%K +0.594%G +0.020% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 10:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 19:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-19 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.40%EV -10.13%E -7.34%K -26.66%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.57%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.57%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -11.43%E -8.41%K -31.76%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.96%EV -0.413%E -0.063%K -0.075%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-16 10:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.75%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.31I 15.85%NM 15.00%EV -3.32%E -0.527%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 4.92I 20.33%NM 19.24%EV -3.78%E -0.768%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.07%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -4.24%E -0.679%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -4.24%E -0.679%K -0.808%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.62%E -2.45%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.62%E -2.45%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 07:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -6.88%E -4.81%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 16:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:42 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -7.53%E -5.30%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -8.18%E -5.80%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 11:44 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -8.07%E -1.35%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |
| Betsson | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.18%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.88%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.08%E -1.72%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.70%EV -9.61%E -1.63%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -0.261%E -0.051%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -11.14%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.73%EV -4.92%E -3.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.04%EV -11.14%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -11.14%E -1.92%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -5.57%E -3.84%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -7.11%E -1.50%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.96%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -11.90%E -2.07%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -10.04%E -2.18%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.12%EV -13.39%E -10.07%K -40.57%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.19%EV -12.67%E -2.22%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.68%EV -13.95%E -3.17%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 11:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.69%EV -10.78%E -7.87%K -29.14%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.83%EV -14.20%E -2.54%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.48%EV -11.02%E -2.42%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 16:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.22%E -4.32%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -6.13%E -1.28%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 16:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.59%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -2.22%E -0.443%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -8.83%E -6.31%K -22.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -15.73%E -2.86%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.99%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-18 08:23 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.69% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.39% | 2.6% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.22% | 3.6% | 2026-04-24 02:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.49% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55% | 6.9% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |