Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic v Dundee United

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

41 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Celtic (Local)

Prediction 73.22%1.37fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -5.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.58%73.04%73.30%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.281.291.3485.47%78.02%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee United (Visit)

Prediction 10.08%9.92fair odd
EV +0.847%
Edge +0.085%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 10.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.38%10.19%10.06%12.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.748.9010.0013.33%11.45%11.24%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 16.70%5.99fair odd
EV +0.188%
Edge +0.031%
Kelly +0.038%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.55%16.77%16.63%18.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.465.406.0020.00%18.31%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Celtic (Local): 73.22%; Dundee United (Visit): 10.08%; Draw: 16.70%. For Dundee United (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.92. 4 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 10.00, producing a positive expected value of +0.847%.

Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 00:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 20:04
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -1.67%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -1.67%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 22:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:05
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:04
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.99%E -0.693%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.94%E -8.08%K -43.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.49%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-21 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.23%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.98%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.45%EV -10.25%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -4.82%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 20:04
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.99%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.62%EV -11.25%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -4.82%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.47%EV -11.25%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 00:09
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.47%EV -11.25%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -1.89%E -1.41%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -1.89%E -1.41%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-22 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.32%E -2.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -6.49%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.32%E -2.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -6.49%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 72.59%EV -14.34%E -12.25%K -84.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 10.75%EV -20.33%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.65%EV -14.84%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:04
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-21 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 71.59%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%9.1%2026-10-22 00:55
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 72.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%13.7%2026-10-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-10-21 20:05