Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic v Dundee United

2026-10-28 19:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic (Local)

Predicción 73.22%1.37momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.58%73.04%73.30%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.281.291.3485.47%78.02%77.52%74.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dundee United (Visitante)

Predicción 10.08%9.92momio equitativo
EV +0.847%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.094%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.38%10.19%10.06%12.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
7.508.748.9010.0013.33%11.45%11.24%10.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 16.70%5.99momio equitativo
EV +0.188%
Ventaja +0.031%
Kelly +0.038%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.55%16.77%16.63%18.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.465.406.0020.00%18.31%18.52%16.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Celtic (Local): 73.22%; Dundee United (Visitante): 10.08%; Empate: 16.70%. Para Dundee United (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 9.92. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 10.00, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.847%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-22 00:05
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.59%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-21 20:04
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.74%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV +0.847%E +0.085%K +0.094%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 20:04
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -1.67%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.29%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -1.67%E -0.172%K -0.191%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-21 20:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.18%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.99%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 20:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.98%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-21 20:20
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.97%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.91%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 20:05
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-21 22:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:05
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.75%EV -5.55%E -4.30%K -19.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.74%EV -4.20%E -0.442%K -0.494%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -16.51%E -3.30%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 20:04
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -3.99%E -0.693%K -0.839%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-22 00:05
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-22 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-21 20:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.73%EV -9.94%E -8.08%K -43.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -9.24%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -6.49%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-21 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.23%EV -7.01%E -5.52%K -25.98%G +0.000%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.45%EV -10.25%E -1.15%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.32%EV -4.82%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-21 20:04
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.99%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.62%EV -11.25%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -4.82%E -0.846%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-21 20:04
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.47%EV -11.25%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 00:09
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.98%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.47%EV -11.25%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-22 00:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -1.89%E -1.41%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 20:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.41%EV -1.89%E -1.41%K -5.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.42%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +0.188%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-21 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-22 00:09
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -8.48%E -6.78%K -33.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -14.28%E -1.68%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -8.16%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.32%E -2.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -6.49%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 20:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -19.32%E -2.42%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -6.49%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 72.59%EV -14.34%E -12.25%K -84.33%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 10.75%EV -20.33%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.65%EV -14.84%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:04
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:04
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.72%EV -4.82%E -3.71%K -16.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -9.83%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-21 20:05
BetRivers🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.70%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.07%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -12.34%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-21 20:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 20:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.58%EV -6.28%E -4.91%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.05%EV -24.36%E -3.25%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.37%EV -13.17%E -2.53%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-21 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 71.59%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.08%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%9.1%2026-10-22 00:55
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 72.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 10.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.59%13.7%2026-10-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-10-21 20:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 34.59%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.70%178.0%2026-10-21 20:05