A Escola das Odds

Aberdeen v Falkirk F.C.

Início: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aberdeen (Local)

Previsão 33.49%2.99odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.759%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.84%33.49%33.52%34.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.772.782.9240.00%36.06%35.97%34.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)

Previsão 38.25%2.61odd justa
EV -3.22%
Vantagem -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.34%38.27%38.24%39.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.442.5345.45%41.23%40.98%39.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.26%3.54odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.311%
Kelly -0.435%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.13%28.24%28.24%29.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.303.303.5034.48%30.34%30.30%28.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.27%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -6.66%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -2.22%E -0.641%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.73%E -4.12%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.57%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.43%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -5.90%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -6.66%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:35
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:40
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:54
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:40
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.43%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:20
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.12%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:45
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.07%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -13.81%E -4.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 14:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.85%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -18.04%E -6.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-03-14 14:55