La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Aberdeen v Falkirk F.C.
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aberdeen (Local)
Predicción 33.49%2.99momio equitativo
EV -2.22%
Ventaja -0.759%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.84%33.49%33.52%34.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.772.782.9240.00%36.06%35.97%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Falkirk F.C. (Visitante)
Predicción 38.25%2.61momio equitativo
EV -3.22%
Ventaja -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.34%38.27%38.24%39.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.432.442.5345.45%41.23%40.98%39.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.311%
Kelly -0.435%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.13%28.24%28.24%29.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.303.303.5034.48%30.34%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.27%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -6.66%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -2.22%E -0.641%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.73%E -4.12%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Betsson | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.57%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.43%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -5.90%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -6.66%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| FanDuel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Everygame | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| William Hill | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.43%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Neds | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.12%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.07%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -13.81%E -4.53%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.85%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -18.04%E -6.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |