مدرسة الاحتمالات

Aberdeen v Falkirk F.C.

البداية: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Aberdeen (المضيف)

التنبؤ 33.49%2.99السعر العادل
EV -2.22%
الأفضلية -0.759%
Kelly -1.15%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
31.84%33.49%33.52%34.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.772.782.9240.00%36.06%35.97%34.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Falkirk F.C. (الضيف)

التنبؤ 38.25%2.61السعر العادل
EV -3.22%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.34%38.27%38.24%39.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.202.432.442.5345.45%41.23%40.98%39.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.26%3.54السعر العادل
EV -1.09%
الأفضلية -0.311%
Kelly -0.435%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.13%28.24%28.24%29.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.903.303.303.5034.48%30.34%30.30%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.27%EV -3.22%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.56%EV -4.20%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 14:45
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -6.66%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -2.22%E -0.641%K -0.902%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.00%EV -2.22%E -0.759%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.89%E -0.995%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.11%E -4.30%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 14:55
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.09%E -0.311%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -4.56%E -1.60%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.98%EV -9.73%E -4.12%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-14 14:54
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -5.57%E -1.97%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.43%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.18%EV -5.90%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.21%EV -6.66%E -2.73%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.60%EV -7.87%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:35
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 14:40
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:40
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:54
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:40
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:40
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.24%E -2.23%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS2.78I 35.97%NM 33.14%EV -6.90%E -2.48%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -7.43%E -3.07%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -2.99%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.33%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:20
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.05%E -2.90%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:20
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.33%E -1.59%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -7.91%E -2.88%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.39%E -4.00%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-14 14:40
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.37%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:45
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -3.91%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -6.74%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:20
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.96%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:20
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -9.58%E -3.55%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 38.46%EV -9.73%E -4.12%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.15%E -2.51%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:45
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 33.07%EV -12.26%E -4.68%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.41%EV -13.81%E -4.53%K -6.73%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 14:50
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -16.28%E -6.51%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.85%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -18.04%E -6.22%K -9.50%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-14 14:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.97%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14%3.0%2026-03-14 14:55