Language:English
Zaragoza v CD Mirandés
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zaragoza (Local)
Prediction 46.51%2.15fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.06%46.46%46.51%50.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.941.952.1057.47%51.61%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CD Mirandés (Visit)
Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV +5.34%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.089%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.15%25.11%25.04%26.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.773.754.2030.77%26.52%26.70%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.41%3.52fair odd
EV -0.579%
Edge -0.165%
Kelly -0.231%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.81%28.44%28.45%30.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.253.253.5035.71%30.78%30.77%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zaragoza (Local): 46.51%; CD Mirandés (Visit): 25.08%; Draw: 28.41%. For CD Mirandés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.99. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -15.81%E -8.74%K -19.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -16.74%E -9.35%K -21.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.29%EV -6.51%E -3.24%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV +0.828%E +0.206%K +0.274%G +0.002% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.11%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.03%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.03%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.74%EV -17.67%E -9.98%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.74%EV -17.67%E -9.98%K -22.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -19.07%E -10.96%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -0.927%E -0.235%K -0.314%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.61%EV -1.43%E -0.364%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -2.57%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -3.44%E -0.892%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 18:58 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -7.91%E -3.99%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-05 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.78%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.45%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.32%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.78%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -9.77%E -5.03%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -10.23%E -5.30%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.00%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -9.77%E -5.03%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -11.46%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -11.37%E -3.65%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-05 18:57 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.78%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -18.48%E -5.69%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -20.46%E -7.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 0.5% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00% | 1.4% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13% | 2.5% | 2026-04-05 19:00 |