L’École des cotes

Zaragoza v CD Mirandés

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 19:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zaragoza (Local)

Prévision 46.51%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -2.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.06%46.46%46.51%50.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.941.952.1057.47%51.61%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

CD Mirandés (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.08%3.99cote équitable
EV +5.34%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.67%
Croissance +0.089%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.15%25.11%25.04%26.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.773.754.2030.77%26.52%26.70%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.41%3.52cote équitable
EV -0.579%
Avantage -0.165%
Kelly -0.231%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.81%28.44%28.45%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.253.5035.71%30.78%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +5.34%E +1.27%K +1.67%G +0.089%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -0.579%E -0.165%K -0.231%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:00
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:00
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:00
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%EV -15.35%E -8.43%K -18.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -15.81%E -8.74%K -19.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 19:00
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 50.74%EV -16.74%E -9.35%K -21.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV +2.83%E +0.691%K +0.914%G +0.026%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 19:00
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 47.29%EV -6.51%E -3.24%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.64%EV +0.828%E +0.206%K +0.274%G +0.002%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.11%E -2.17%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.03%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 19:00
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 46.75%EV -4.18%E -2.03%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.07%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 18:59
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.74%EV -17.67%E -9.98%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 19:00
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 50.74%EV -17.67%E -9.98%K -22.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV +0.327%E +0.082%K +0.109%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 19:00
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.61%EV -19.07%E -10.96%K -25.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%EV -0.927%E -0.235%K -0.314%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 19:00
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.19%EV -4.65%E -2.27%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.61%EV -1.43%E -0.364%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV -2.57%E -0.748%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 18:59
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -3.44%E -0.892%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 18:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.42%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 18:59
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 19:00
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 18:58
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 46.86%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.69%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.94%E -1.59%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 18:59
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -7.91%E -3.99%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 18:59
Bovada1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.37%E -4.25%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 18:55
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 19:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -7.20%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -14.78%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-05 19:00
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.45%E -2.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -4.84%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 19:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -2.32%E -1.11%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 19:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.26%E -1.90%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 19:00
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:59
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.61%EV -6.05%E -2.99%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 18:59
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.69%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 18:59
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 19:00
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -9.71%E -2.70%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -14.78%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.49%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-05 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.65%EV -9.77%E -5.03%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.85%EV -7.68%E -2.36%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.37%EV -10.23%E -5.30%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:59
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 47.00%EV -13.95%E -7.54%K -16.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -10.96%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -13.36%E -4.38%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-05 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.05%EV -9.77%E -5.03%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -11.46%E -3.25%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.64%EV -11.37%E -3.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 18:57
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.10%E -2.84%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 19:00
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 19:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.31%EV -9.30%E -4.77%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.78%E -4.93%K -7.39%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 19:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.69%EV -12.56%E -6.68%K -14.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -13.47%E -3.90%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -10.52%E -3.34%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-05 19:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 19:00
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -6.98%E -3.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.94%E -3.85%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 19:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.06%EV -11.16%E -5.84%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.89%EV -18.48%E -5.69%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.05%EV -20.46%E -7.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%18.8%2026-04-05 19:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%0.5%2026-04-05 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.72%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%1.0%2026-04-05 19:00
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-04-05 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.08%1.1%2026-04-05 19:00
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.00%1.4%2026-04-05 19:00
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.13%2.5%2026-04-05 19:00