Language:English
Zaragoza v Burgos CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zaragoza (Local)
Prediction 30.88%3.24fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.90%31.05%30.83%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.892.903.2037.74%34.57%34.48%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Burgos CF (Visit)
Prediction 36.41%2.75fair odd
EV +0.139%
Edge +0.051%
Kelly +0.080%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.10%36.26%36.50%37.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.06%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.70%3.06fair odd
EV -0.582%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.285%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.04
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.28%32.69%32.67%34.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.822.853.0440.82%35.46%35.09%32.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zaragoza (Local): 30.88%; Burgos CF (Visit): 36.41%; Draw: 32.70%. For Burgos CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.746. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.139%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -2.41%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.69%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -2.41%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.69%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -1.18%E -0.368%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -4.51%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.46%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -18.16%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -18.16%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.26%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.26%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 14:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.05%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -7.51%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -0.582%E -0.191%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -7.87%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -7.87%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.83%EV -8.24%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.83%EV -8.24%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -14.32%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -17.54%E -6.57%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.81%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -12.68%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.87%EV -10.42%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.64%EV -12.91%E -4.58%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 36.27%EV -10.42%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.09%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-28 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -9.82%E -3.36%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.52%EV -13.33%E -5.60%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 15:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-02-28 14:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -16.25%E -7.06%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-28 15:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.48%EV -16.25%E -7.06%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.56%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 19.2% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.14%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.03%EV -16.25%E -7.06%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 33.83%EV -19.88%E -8.11%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.70% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98% | 1.5% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |