La scuola delle quote

Zaragoza v Burgos CF

Inizio: 2026-02-28 15:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zaragoza (Casa)

Previsione 30.88%3.24quota equa
EV -1.18%
Vantaggio -0.368%
Kelly -0.535%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.90%31.05%30.83%34.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.652.892.903.2037.74%34.57%34.48%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Burgos CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.41%2.75quota equa
EV +0.139%
Vantaggio +0.051%
Kelly +0.080%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.10%36.26%36.50%37.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.06%39.22%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 32.70%3.06quota equa
EV -0.582%
Vantaggio -0.191%
Kelly -0.285%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.28%32.69%32.67%34.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.452.822.853.0440.82%35.46%35.09%32.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.36%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.72%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.92%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 14:35
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:35
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:35
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.139%E +0.051%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -3.53%E -1.20%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 14:35
LowVig.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -2.41%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.69%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:35
BetOnline.ag3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -2.41%E -0.763%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.69%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.81%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 14:35
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:35
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:35
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -1.68%E -0.623%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 14:35
Pinnacle3.20I 31.25%NM 30.27%EV -1.18%E -0.368%K -0.535%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.55%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.17%EV -4.51%E -1.54%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:35
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.46%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 14:35
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -16.62%E -6.15%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.35%EV -3.50%E -1.32%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.94%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:35
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -18.16%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 14:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -18.16%E -6.85%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.30%EV -4.23%E -1.61%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-02-28 14:35
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.26%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:35
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.01%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.38%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:35
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -4.26%E -1.38%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:34
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.32%E -2.05%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 14:53
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.18%EV -6.05%E -2.35%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.11%EV -7.78%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:35
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 14:35
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -7.14%E -2.80%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -11.70%E -4.33%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:35
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -7.51%E -2.96%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.28%EV -0.582%E -0.191%K -0.285%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 15:05
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -7.87%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:50
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -5.81%E -1.90%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.50%EV -7.87%E -3.11%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.22%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.83%EV -8.24%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.94%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.83%EV -8.24%E -3.27%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:05
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.81%E -2.02%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 13:45
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 14:35
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -14.32%E -5.46%K -8.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 14:35
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.99%E -5.32%K -8.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-28 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -17.54%E -6.57%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.81%EV -8.96%E -3.59%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.59%EV -12.68%E -4.75%K -7.59%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.90%E -3.02%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.87%EV -10.42%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.39%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 15:05
Unibet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.64%EV -12.91%E -4.58%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.27%EV -10.42%E -4.24%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.09%EV -9.08%E -3.27%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 14:35
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -5.16%E -1.78%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.44%E -3.60%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -6.80%E -2.38%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 14:35
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -11.06%E -3.84%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 14:35
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.37%E -3.96%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -10.78%E -4.40%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 14:34
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -7.35%E -2.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.61%E -5.25%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-02-28 14:34
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 30.58%EV -9.82%E -3.36%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.52%EV -13.33%E -5.60%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 15:04
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.43%E -6.14%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -8.43%E -3.01%K -4.68%G +0.000%14.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -11.99%E -4.21%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.83%EV -16.25%E -7.06%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -10.07%E -3.66%K -5.75%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-28 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 29.96%EV -13.53%E -4.83%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.48%EV -16.25%E -7.06%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.56%EV -18.24%E -7.30%K -12.16%G +0.000%19.2%2026-02-28 14:35
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.14%EV -15.07%E -5.48%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.03%EV -16.25%E -7.06%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.83%EV -19.88%E -8.11%K -13.71%G +0.000%20.7%2026-02-28 14:35
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07%0.5%2026-02-28 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07%0.5%2026-02-28 14:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07%0.5%2026-02-28 14:35
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07%0.5%2026-02-28 14:35
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.32%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.70%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%1.5%2026-02-28 14:35