La scuola delle quote

Zaragoza v AD Ceuta FC

Inizio: 2026-04-18 14:15 UTC

Finale: Zaragoza 2–2 AD Ceuta FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Zaragoza (Casa)

Previsione 58.50%1.71quota equa
EV -3.48%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -5.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.71%58.51%58.45%59.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.581.581.6567.57%63.12%63.29%60.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

AD Ceuta FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.67%5.66quota equa
EV +1.58%
Vantaggio +0.274%
Kelly +0.332%
Crescita +0.005%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.41%17.65%17.69%19.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.64%20.00%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.83%4.20quota equa
EV -2.75%
Vantaggio -0.675%
Kelly -0.894%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.83%23.84%23.87%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.803.804.0830.77%26.32%26.32%24.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.58%E +0.274%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.83%EV -3.71%E -0.918%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 13:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +0.693%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:54
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.56%EV -2.75%E -0.675%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:54
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:44
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:44
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:54
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:55
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.61%E -0.853%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.09%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:30
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:45
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.41%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -9.02%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:44
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.41%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -9.02%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:45
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:44
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:44
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:45
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:55
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.69%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 13:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 13:44
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.77%EV -13.42%E -9.07%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:44
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:45
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:44
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:44
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -8.74%E -5.60%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:44
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:31
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:44
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -16.09%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 13:45
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.81%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -16.97%E -3.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -20.51%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -22.54%E -6.93%K -10.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-18 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-18 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-18 14:01
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-18 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.91%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%2.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-04-18 13:45