La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zaragoza v AD Ceuta FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zaragoza (Local)
Predicción 58.50%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -2.11%
Kelly -5.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.71%58.51%58.45%59.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.581.581.6567.57%63.12%63.29%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AD Ceuta FC (Visitante)
Predicción 17.67%5.66momio equitativo
EV +1.58%
Ventaja +0.274%
Kelly +0.332%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.41%17.65%17.69%19.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.64%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.83%4.20momio equitativo
EV -2.75%
Ventaja -0.675%
Kelly -0.894%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.83%23.84%23.87%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.803.804.0830.77%26.32%26.32%24.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.58%E +0.274%K +0.332%G +0.005% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.83%EV -3.71%E -0.918%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +0.693%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.56%EV -2.75%E -0.675%K -0.894%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.61%E -0.853%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.09%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.41%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -9.02%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.41%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -9.02%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.69%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-18 13:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.77%EV -13.42%E -9.07%K -27.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-18 13:55 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| TABtouch | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -8.74%E -5.60%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 13:31 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-18 13:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -16.09%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.81%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -16.97%E -3.61%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -20.51%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -22.54%E -6.93%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 14:01 |
| Smarkets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.91% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82% | 2.4% | 2026-04-18 14:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28% | 3.0% | 2026-04-18 13:45 |