مدرسة الاحتمالات

Zaragoza v AD Ceuta FC

البداية: 2026-04-18 14:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Zaragoza 2–2 AD Ceuta FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Zaragoza (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.50%1.71السعر العادل
EV -3.48%
الأفضلية -2.11%
Kelly -5.35%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.71%58.51%58.45%59.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.481.581.581.6567.57%63.12%63.29%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

AD Ceuta FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 17.67%5.66السعر العادل
EV +1.58%
الأفضلية +0.274%
Kelly +0.332%
النمو +0.005%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.41%17.65%17.69%19.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.095.005.7522.22%19.64%20.00%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.83%4.20السعر العادل
EV -2.75%
الأفضلية -0.675%
Kelly -0.894%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.83%23.84%23.87%25.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.803.804.0830.77%26.32%26.32%24.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.43%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV +1.58%E +0.274%K +0.332%G +0.005%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.83%EV -3.71%E -0.918%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 13:55
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.59%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.41%EV +0.693%E +0.122%K +0.147%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 13:54
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.85%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.48%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.56%EV -2.75%E -0.675%K -0.894%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 13:54
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:44
BetAnything1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -5.85%E -1.48%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 13:44
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.55%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:54
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 13:55
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -2.84%E -0.516%K -0.631%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.28%EV -4.61%E -0.853%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.68%EV -6.09%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 14:00
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:30
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 13:45
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.79%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:55
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.94%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.66%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.10%EV -6.99%E -4.39%K -11.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.26%E -1.38%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:54
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.41%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -9.02%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:44
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.41%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.92%EV -9.02%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.67%EV -7.04%E -1.81%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:45
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:44
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%EV -3.48%E -2.11%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -8.24%E -2.14%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:55
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:44
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:45
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 56.68%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:55
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-18 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-18 13:54
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.69%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 13:55
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 13:44
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.50%E -6.86%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 13:54
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.77%EV -13.42%E -9.07%K -27.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.67%E -2.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -13.00%E -3.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-18 13:55
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:44
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:45
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:44
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.23%E -3.23%K -8.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -5.82%E -3.61%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.62%E -2.83%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:44
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.54%EV -8.74%E -5.60%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -4.66%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:44
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 56.85%EV -6.40%E -4.00%K -10.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -13.44%E -2.74%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:45
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.94%EV -7.57%E -4.79%K -13.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:31
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -8.16%E -5.19%K -14.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.21%E -3.17%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -11.81%E -3.19%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-18 13:44
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.82%EV -16.09%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-18 13:45
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.81%EV -9.33%E -6.02%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -16.97%E -3.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.19%E -3.94%K -5.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-18 13:45
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.79%EV -11.08%E -7.29%K -21.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.10%EV -18.74%E -4.07%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.43%E -2.48%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-18 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.25%E -8.17%K -24.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -20.51%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -22.54%E -6.93%K -10.02%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-18 13:45
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-18 14:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-18 14:01
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-18 14:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.08%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-04-18 14:01
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.91%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%2.4%2026-04-18 14:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%3.0%2026-04-18 13:45