La scuola delle quote

Sporting Gijón v Real Sociedad B

Inizio: 2026-04-06 18:34 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Casa)

Previsione 60.17%1.66quota equa
EV +3.49%
Vantaggio +2.03%
Kelly +4.84%
Crescita +0.169%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.49%59.83%60.19%61.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.561.561.7269.44%64.23%63.90%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Sociedad B (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.29%5.78quota equa
EV +2.38%
Vantaggio +0.403%
Kelly +0.484%
Crescita +0.012%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.83%17.51%17.31%21.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.255.115.005.9223.53%19.55%20.00%16.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.54%4.44quota equa
EV -3.08%
Vantaggio -0.717%
Kelly -0.934%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.96%22.66%22.50%24.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.983.954.3030.30%25.15%25.32%23.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV +3.49%E +2.03%K +4.84%G +0.169%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -26.50%E -6.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:29
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:30
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -7.99%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:29
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:29
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 18:29
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.25%EV +2.38%E +0.403%K +0.484%G +0.012%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.48%EV -3.53%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 18:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:30
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:29
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 18:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -17.85%E -3.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 18:30
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -17.85%E -3.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 18:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 18:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.34%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 18:29
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:29
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:30
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 18:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -1.42%E -0.249%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 18:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 18:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 18:30
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 18:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 18:30
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.557%E -0.097%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-06 18:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -11.80%E -2.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.07%EV -8.72%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:28
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -18.72%E -3.98%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -11.56%E -7.86%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -12.76%E -8.80%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -22.18%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -25.62%E -7.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%22.0%2026-04-06 18:26
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%2.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-04-06 18:30