L’École des cotes

Sporting Gijón v Real Sociedad B

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 18:34 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Prévision 60.17%1.66cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +2.03%
Kelly +4.84%
Croissance +0.169%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.49%59.83%60.19%61.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.561.561.7269.44%64.23%63.90%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Real Sociedad B (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.29%5.78cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +0.403%
Kelly +0.484%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.83%17.51%17.31%21.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.255.115.005.9223.53%19.55%20.00%16.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.54%4.44cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -0.717%
Kelly -0.934%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.96%22.66%22.50%24.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.983.954.3030.30%25.15%25.32%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV +3.49%E +2.03%K +4.84%G +0.169%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -26.50%E -6.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:29
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 18:30
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -7.99%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:29
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 18:29
Betr (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 18:29
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.25%EV +2.38%E +0.403%K +0.484%G +0.012%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.48%EV -3.53%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-06 18:29
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:30
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-06 18:29
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 18:30
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 18:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 18:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -17.85%E -3.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 18:30
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -17.85%E -3.76%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 18:30
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 18:30
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.34%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 18:29
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:29
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:30
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-06 18:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -1.42%E -0.249%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 18:29
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 18:29
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 18:30
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 18:30
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 18:30
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.557%E -0.097%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 18:30
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 18:30
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 18:30
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-06 18:30
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-06 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -11.80%E -2.31%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.07%EV -8.72%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-06 18:28
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -18.72%E -3.98%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 18:29
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-06 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -11.56%E -7.86%K -24.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -12.76%E -8.80%K -28.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-06 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -22.18%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -25.62%E -7.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%22.0%2026-04-06 18:26
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-06 18:30
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%NM 61.49%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74%2.3%2026-04-06 18:30
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-04-06 18:30