La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sporting Gijón v Real Sociedad B
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sporting Gijón (Local)
Predicción 60.17%1.66momio equitativo
EV +3.49%
Ventaja +2.03%
Kelly +4.84%
Crecimiento +0.169%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.49%59.83%60.19%61.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.561.561.7269.44%64.23%63.90%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Sociedad B (Visitante)
Predicción 17.29%5.78momio equitativo
EV +2.38%
Ventaja +0.403%
Kelly +0.484%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.83%17.51%17.31%21.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.255.115.005.9223.53%19.55%20.00%16.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.54%4.44momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -0.934%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.96%22.66%22.50%24.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.983.954.3030.30%25.15%25.32%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.49%EV +3.49%E +2.03%K +4.84%G +0.169% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -26.50%E -6.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Unibet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.37%EV -1.33%E -0.809%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.97%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.63%EV -2.53%E -1.56%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -7.99%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -8.94%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.25%EV -3.13%E -1.95%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.81%EV -15.26%E -3.11%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -3.73%E -2.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.30%EV -4.94%E -3.12%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.27%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.25%EV +2.38%E +0.403%K +0.484%G +0.012% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.48%EV -3.53%E -0.825%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.13%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.32%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -3.08%E -0.717%K -0.934%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.46%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -17.85%E -3.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -5.54%E -3.53%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -17.85%E -3.76%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.42%EV -6.14%E -3.94%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -8.34%E -1.57%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.46%E -1.56%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -6.74%E -4.35%K -12.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -7.34%E -4.77%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -20.45%E -4.44%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -16.61%E -4.49%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.92%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -1.42%E -0.249%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.34%E -1.27%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -7.95%E -5.19%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.13%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.58%EV -10.07%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -8.55%E -5.62%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -9.20%E -1.75%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.22%E -3.43%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.81%EV -9.15%E -6.06%K -17.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -0.557%E -0.097%K -0.117%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -4.21%E -0.990%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.21%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV +0.307%E +0.053%K +0.064%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -9.75%E -6.50%K -19.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.53%E -2.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.40%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -11.80%E -2.31%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.07%EV -8.72%E -2.15%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-06 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.69%EV -18.72%E -3.98%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -9.84%E -2.46%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-06 18:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.90%EV -10.95%E -7.40%K -22.82%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.16%EV -16.99%E -3.54%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.94%EV -14.35%E -3.78%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -11.56%E -7.86%K -24.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -7.59%E -1.85%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.15%EV -12.76%E -8.80%K -28.35%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -4.88%E -0.887%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.73%EV -12.10%E -3.10%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 56.94%EV -13.36%E -9.28%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.22%EV -22.18%E -4.93%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 24.84%EV -25.62%E -7.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 22.0% | 2026-04-06 18:26 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.49% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.74% | 2.3% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 18:30 |