L’École des cotes

Sporting Gijón v Cádiz CF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 14:19 UTC

Score final : Sporting Gijón 3–0 Cádiz CF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Prévision 58.64%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -4.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.71%58.64%58.64%59.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.6666.67%63.10%63.69%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cádiz CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.66%5.66cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.301%
Kelly +0.364%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 5.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.19%17.70%17.67%19.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.075.005.7622.22%19.73%20.00%17.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.69%4.22cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.577%
Kelly -0.762%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.68%23.65%23.69%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.813.804.1230.77%26.27%26.32%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.73%EV +1.73%E +0.301%K +0.364%G +0.006%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.40%EV -2.38%E -0.577%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 14:14
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV +0.674%E +0.118%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV +0.674%E +0.118%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 14:15
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 14:13
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.85%E -0.695%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 14:15
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:15
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:15
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.74%E -0.686%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.04%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:14
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -4.62%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:14
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.20%EV -5.51%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:08
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.93%EV -3.83%E -2.33%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.96%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -6.64%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:14
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -2.85%E -0.695%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 14:14
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -9.04%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 14:14
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -9.04%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 14:14
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -2.65%E -1.60%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:15
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:13
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:15
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:15
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.28%E -6.72%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 14:13
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -12.04%E -8.02%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:14
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -10.86%E -7.15%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 14:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -14.34%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -15.22%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.22%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.22%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.10%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.81%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -16.99%E -3.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:14
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -9.69%E -6.29%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.04%E -8.02%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -20.52%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -22.99%E -7.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-19 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.21%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.43%3.6%2026-04-19 14:15