La escuela de los momios

Sporting Gijón v Cádiz CF

Inicio: 2026-04-19 14:19 UTC

Final: Sporting Gijón 3–0 Cádiz CF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sporting Gijón (Local)

Predicción 58.64%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -4.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.71%58.64%58.64%59.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.571.6666.67%63.10%63.69%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cádiz CF (Visitante)

Predicción 17.66%5.66momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.301%
Kelly +0.364%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.19%17.70%17.67%19.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.075.005.7622.22%19.73%20.00%17.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.69%4.22momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -0.577%
Kelly -0.762%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.68%23.65%23.69%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.804.1230.77%26.27%26.32%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.87%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.73%EV +1.73%E +0.301%K +0.364%G +0.006%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.40%EV -2.38%E -0.577%K -0.762%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-19 14:14
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.31%EV +0.674%E +0.118%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV +0.674%E +0.118%K +0.143%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 14:15
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.84%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 14:13
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.85%E -0.695%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 14:15
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:15
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.78%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 14:15
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -2.86%E -0.520%K -0.635%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 14:15
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.13%EV -3.74%E -0.686%K -0.841%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -4.04%E -0.997%K -1.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:14
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 59.21%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.11%EV -4.62%E -0.856%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 14:14
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.20%EV -5.51%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:08
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.93%EV -3.83%E -2.33%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.96%EV -6.57%E -1.24%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV -6.64%E -1.69%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:14
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.16%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.83%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:14
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.61%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -2.85%E -0.695%K -0.920%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 14:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.77%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.57%EV -7.27%E -1.39%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 14:14
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -9.04%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 14:14
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.93%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.00%EV -9.04%E -1.76%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 14:14
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.07%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -8.78%E -2.28%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:15
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 56.56%EV -2.65%E -1.60%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.41%EV -9.92%E -1.95%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:15
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:13
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:15
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:15
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.96%E -2.62%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 14:15
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.28%E -6.72%K -19.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 14:13
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -12.04%E -8.02%K -24.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -11.69%E -2.34%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:14
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -5.00%E -3.09%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.69%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.51%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 14:15
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.52%E -5.46%K -15.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -10.86%E -7.15%K -20.89%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -13.46%E -2.75%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 14:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -14.34%E -2.96%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 14:15
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -15.22%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -7.59%E -1.95%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:15
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.22%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 56.75%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -15.22%E -3.17%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57%EV -13.51%E -3.70%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -16.10%E -3.39%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:15
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.81%EV -9.10%E -5.87%K -16.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -16.99%E -3.61%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.46%EV -14.70%E -4.08%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:15
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:14
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -11.14%E -2.97%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.11%EV -9.69%E -6.29%K -17.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -18.75%E -4.08%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -12.33%E -3.33%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.71%EV -12.04%E -8.02%K -24.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.57%EV -20.52%E -4.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.71%EV -22.99%E -7.07%K -10.22%G +0.000%19.7%2026-04-19 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.10%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%1.5%2026-04-19 14:15
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-04-19 14:15
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.21%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.43%3.6%2026-04-19 14:15