Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Huesca v CD Mirandés

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Huesca (Local)

Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.71%45.62%45.60%47.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.992.002.1054.05%50.18%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CD Mirandés (Visit)

Prediction 23.54%4.25fair odd
EV +0.505%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.154%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.52%23.61%24.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.913.954.2729.41%25.57%25.32%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.47%30.85%30.79%32.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.982.993.1538.02%33.54%33.44%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Huesca (Local): 45.65%; CD Mirandés (Visit): 23.54%; Draw: 30.82%. For CD Mirandés (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.25. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.505%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.52%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV +0.505%E +0.118%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -3.23%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:10
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.62%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.22%EV +0.505%E +0.118%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.08%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 11:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.08%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 11:55
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:03
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.72%EV -6.32%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:05
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 05:00
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:48
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 12:10
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -11.55%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 12:00
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -12.36%E -6.44%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.01%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -12.36%E -6.44%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.01%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.01%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -8.16%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -8.16%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 12:15
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 13:03
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.12%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 12:15
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -13.71%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.99%E -5.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 07:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -14.64%E -7.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.99%E -5.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -13.71%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.57%EV -10.54%E -5.38%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.03%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 12:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -10.54%E -5.38%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 14:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.76%EV -13.27%E -6.99%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.71%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 14:44
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.91%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 12:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 45.49%EV -15.56%E -8.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.75%EV -12.91%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.76%EV -18.33%E -6.92%K -11.11%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:14
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:15
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -11.45%E -5.90%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -16.44%E -4.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-21 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 43.71%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.55%EV -19.97%E -5.87%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.74%EV -18.95%E -7.21%K -11.63%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.66%0.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71%1.7%2026-02-21 14:50