La escuela de los momios

SD Huesca v CD Mirandés

Inicio: 2026-02-21 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SD Huesca (Local)

Predicción 45.65%2.19momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -3.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.71%45.62%45.60%47.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.992.002.1054.05%50.18%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

CD Mirandés (Visitante)

Predicción 23.54%4.25momio equitativo
EV +0.505%
Ventaja +0.118%
Kelly +0.154%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.22%23.52%23.61%24.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.913.954.2729.41%25.57%25.32%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 30.82%3.24momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.929%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.47%30.85%30.79%32.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.982.993.1538.02%33.54%33.44%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.52%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.66%EV +0.505%E +0.118%K +0.154%G +0.001%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -3.23%E -1.03%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:10
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.62%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.22%EV +0.505%E +0.118%K +0.154%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.08%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 11:50
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.08%EV -4.60%E -2.20%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV +0.034%E +0.008%K +0.011%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.27%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 11:55
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.27%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.60%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.49%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.70%EV -2.93%E -0.929%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 15:10
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:03
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.93%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -3.50%E -0.853%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 15:00
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.23%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.06%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.72%EV -6.32%E -2.08%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:05
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.04%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.74%EV -4.67%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:10
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.15%E -1.97%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:09
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 05:00
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:48
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 12:10
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -5.85%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -11.55%E -4.03%K -6.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-21 12:00
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.37%EV -11.90%E -6.17%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.14%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -4.47%E -1.44%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -12.36%E -6.44%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.01%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:10
LeoVegas1.92I 52.08%NM 47.27%EV -12.36%E -6.44%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -7.03%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -6.01%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:10
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.01%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 05:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:10
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -8.16%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 12:14
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.18%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -8.20%E -2.10%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.08%EV -8.16%E -2.74%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 12:15
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:10
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 13:03
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.12%EV -7.80%E -3.86%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 12:15
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -13.71%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.75%EV -10.99%E -5.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.48%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.77%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 07:34
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -14.64%E -7.83%K -16.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.47%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-21 15:10
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.99%E -5.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.56%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.52%EV -13.71%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-21 15:00
Betclic (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.57%EV -10.54%E -5.38%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -11.03%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.45%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.55%E -2.52%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 12:15
Unibet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.36%EV -10.08%E -5.12%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.81%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 12:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.48%EV -10.54%E -5.38%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.74%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.76%EV -13.27%E -6.99%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.19%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -13.71%E -4.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 14:44
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -12.91%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.09%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 12:15
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.49%EV -15.56%E -8.41%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.75%EV -12.91%E -3.49%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.76%EV -18.33%E -6.92%K -11.11%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-21 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:14
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:15
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -8.71%E -4.35%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -15.27%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 12:14
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.14%EV -11.45%E -5.90%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -16.44%E -4.63%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.20%EV -10.63%E -3.67%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-21 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 43.71%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.55%EV -19.97%E -5.87%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.74%EV -18.95%E -7.21%K -11.63%G +0.000%19.8%2026-02-21 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.16%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.66%0.3%2026-02-21 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%0.8%2026-02-21 14:55
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.71%1.7%2026-02-21 14:50