Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Huesca v CD Castellón

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Final: SD Huesca 0–1 CD Castellón

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Huesca (Local)

Prediction 19.67%5.08fair odd
EV +3.27%
Edge +0.624%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.05%19.64%19.74%20.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.614.505.2523.81%21.71%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CD Castellón (Visit)

Prediction 57.39%1.74fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.71%57.44%57.27%59.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.601.7165.79%61.93%62.50%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.94%4.36fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.482%
Kelly -0.629%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.67%22.91%22.99%25.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.913.904.2730.30%25.57%25.64%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Huesca (Local): 19.67%; CD Castellón (Visit): 57.39%; Draw: 22.94%. For SD Huesca (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +3.27%E +0.624%K +0.770%G +0.025%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:20
BetOnline.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +2.29%E +0.441%K +0.545%G +0.012%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +2.29%E +0.441%K +0.545%G +0.012%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 16:20
Bovada🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Pinnacle🎯4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.23%E -0.449%K -0.563%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.15%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Marathon Bet🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.63%E -0.531%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.81%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:19
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 16:20
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Betsson🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:19
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:19
1xBet🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 19.77%EV -7.94%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.56%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.67%EV -2.06%E -0.482%K -0.629%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 16:20
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 16:10
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.40%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-24 15:59
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 15:40
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 15:39
Grosvenor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 15:40
betPARX🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 15:40
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 15:39
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-24 16:00
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.51%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -9.86%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:20
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-24 16:10
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -7.97%K -23.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-24 16:19
theScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 16:20
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -15.13%E -4.09%K -5.60%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-24 15:40
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -5.88%E -3.58%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -5.88%E -3.58%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -14.43%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.16%EV -12.76%E -8.40%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Neds🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-24 16:00
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-24 16:10
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -15.41%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -17.43%E -4.84%K -6.70%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-24 15:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.38%E -4.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.62%E -7.54%K -21.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 19.93%EV -17.38%E -4.14%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.71%EV -12.19%E -7.97%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -24.31%E -7.37%K -10.57%G +0.000%19.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi5.26I 19.01%NM 19.18%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 22.17%-0.9%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%1.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.87%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08%2.9%2026-05-24 16:20