La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SD Huesca v CD Castellón
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SD Huesca (Local)
Predicción 19.67%5.08momio equitativo
EV +3.27%
Ventaja +0.624%
Kelly +0.770%
Crecimiento +0.025%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.05%19.64%19.74%20.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.614.505.2523.81%21.71%22.22%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Castellón (Visitante)
Predicción 57.39%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.71%57.44%57.27%59.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.611.601.7165.79%61.93%62.50%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.94%4.36momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.482%
Kelly -0.629%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.67%22.91%22.99%25.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.913.904.2730.30%25.57%25.64%23.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +3.27%E +0.624%K +0.770%G +0.025% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +2.29%E +0.441%K +0.545%G +0.012% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV +2.29%E +0.441%K +0.545%G +0.012% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.05%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.47%EV -1.64%E -0.329%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.45%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Pinnacle | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.32%EV -2.23%E -0.449%K -0.563%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.15%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.53%EV -6.42%E -1.57%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -2.63%E -0.531%K -0.665%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.67%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -4.81%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| William Hill | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.58%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Coolbet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.94%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.38%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betsson | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| NordicBet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.74%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.81%EV -7.10%E -1.75%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| PlayUp | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.08%EV -6.56%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| 1xBet | 4.68I 21.37%NM 19.77%EV -7.94%E -1.70%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.56%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 21.67%EV -2.06%E -0.482%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Unibet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.07%EV -1.86%E -1.09%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -11.69%E -3.04%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| SportsBet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -9.51%E -2.07%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.20%EV -8.75%E -5.50%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.40%E -2.38%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Casumo | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.90%EV -3.58%E -2.13%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -5.96%E -1.45%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -4.16%E -2.49%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| betfred_uk | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.03%E -4.34%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -7.60%E -4.72%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.81%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.51%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.68%EV -9.86%E -2.51%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -11.48%E -2.55%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -12.19%E -7.97%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| theScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.94%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -9.32%E -5.90%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -3.66%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.77%EV -4.73%E -2.85%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -15.13%E -4.09%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -5.88%E -3.58%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.88%EV -5.88%E -3.58%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -16.28%E -4.46%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -13.45%E -3.06%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -11.04%E -7.12%K -20.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -13.99%E -3.73%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.97%EV -14.43%E -3.32%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.16%EV -12.76%E -8.40%K -24.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-24 16:19 |
| Neds | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 15:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Coral | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -10.54%E -2.70%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-24 16:00 |
| Sky Bet | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.42%EV -14.82%E -3.42%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.31%EV -9.90%E -6.30%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.27%EV -12.84%E -3.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-24 16:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -15.41%E -3.58%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.05%EV -8.17%E -5.11%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.47%EV -17.43%E -4.84%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -17.38%E -4.14%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -11.62%E -7.54%K -21.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 19.93%EV -17.38%E -4.14%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 54.71%EV -12.19%E -7.97%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.36%EV -24.31%E -7.37%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 5.26I 19.01%NM 19.18% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.65% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 22.17% | -0.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Matchbook | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.0% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39% | 1.5% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.05% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.08% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 16:20 |