Language:English
SD Eibar v Real Valladolid CF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SD Eibar (Local)
Prediction 45.92%2.18fair odd
EV -2.66%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.14%46.02%45.94%48.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.002.1253.48%49.62%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Valladolid CF (Visit)
Prediction 22.86%4.37fair odd
EV +4.24%
Edge +0.929%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 4.56
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.91%22.89%22.78%25.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.903.854.5629.41%25.62%25.97%21.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.23%3.20fair odd
EV -1.64%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.763%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%31.09%31.28%32.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.953.1536.36%33.99%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SD Eibar (Local): 45.92%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 22.86%; Draw: 31.23%. For Real Valladolid CF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.56, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.18%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.56I 21.93%NM 21.21%EV +4.24%E +0.929%K +1.19%G +0.050% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.61%EV -4.45%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -12.76%E -6.72%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +0.580%E +0.132%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 14:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -6.64%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.31%EV -8.63%E -4.34%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.85%E -0.670%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -2.85%E -0.670%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.88%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -5.39%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.82%EV -9.55%E -4.85%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.29%EV -7.42%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.89%EV -11.63%E -4.11%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 14:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -14.14%E -7.56%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -14.13%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.28%EV -7.71%E -3.84%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 14:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -1.64%E -0.521%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-23 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 14:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 14:48 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-23 14:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 14:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-23 14:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -18.85%E -5.31%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -18.85%E -5.31%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -18.85%E -5.31%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.31%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -22.28%E -6.55%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |