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SD Eibar v Real Valladolid CF

2026-08-23 15:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Eibar (Local)

Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.97%41.50%41.26%44.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.252.3350.00%45.12%44.54%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visit)

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.740%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.00%25.91%29.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.433.453.7732.26%29.11%28.99%26.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.73%3.06fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.602%
Kelly -0.902%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.79%32.50%32.83%33.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.832.823.0037.74%35.29%35.46%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SD Eibar (Local): 41.29%; Real Valladolid CF (Visit): 25.98%; Draw: 32.73%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.00, with an expected value of -1.80%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.23%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -3.09%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.01%EV -4.75%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 16:19
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -3.80%E -1.63%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.25%EV -2.05%E -0.544%K -0.740%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 16:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -16.86%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -1.80%E -0.602%K -0.902%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -6.69%E -2.96%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -5.95%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.96%EV -7.37%E -2.60%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -1.80%E -0.602%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 19:44
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.08%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -5.08%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 19:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -5.73%E -1.99%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 19:45
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -9.01%E -3.24%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:19
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.01%EV -9.01%E -3.24%K -5.06%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:20
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -19.46%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -5.08%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-16 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.59%EV -7.52%E -3.36%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.06%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 16:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -5.08%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.35%E -2.98%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 19:00
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -5.08%E -1.75%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 15:54
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.35%E -2.98%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-16 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.52%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.84%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.64%EV -13.26%E -5.00%K -8.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -11.23%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -15.56%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -9.99%E -3.63%K -5.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-16 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -11.23%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.62%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 16:20
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -11.23%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -16.86%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -11.62%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-16 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -18.16%E -5.76%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -11.62%E -4.31%K -6.84%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-16 16:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -17.43%E -8.71%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -1.80%E -0.602%K -0.902%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 41.54%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.97%6.0%2026-08-16 16:55
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 40.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.80%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.74%16.6%2026-08-16 16:20

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