Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SD Eibar v Real Valladolid CF

Início: 2026-08-23 15:00 UTC

Final: SD Eibar 1–0 Real Valladolid CF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SD Eibar (Local)

Previsão 45.92%2.18odd justa
EV -2.66%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.14%46.02%45.94%48.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.872.022.002.1253.48%49.62%50.00%47.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Real Valladolid CF (Visitante)

Previsão 22.86%4.37odd justa
EV +4.24%
Vantagem +0.929%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.050%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.91%22.89%22.78%25.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.903.854.5629.41%25.62%25.97%21.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.23%3.20odd justa
EV -1.64%
Vantagem -0.521%
Kelly -0.763%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.36%31.09%31.28%32.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.942.953.1536.36%33.99%33.90%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SD Eibar (Local): 45.92%; Real Valladolid CF (Visitante): 22.86%; Empate: 31.23%. Para Real Valladolid CF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.37. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.56, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.24%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.18%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.21%EV +4.24%E +0.929%K +1.19%G +0.050%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.61%EV -4.45%E -1.45%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-23 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.42%EV -12.76%E -6.72%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV +0.580%E +0.132%K +0.171%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 14:55
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-23 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.11%EV -9.09%E -4.59%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -1.71%E -0.397%K -0.517%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -6.64%E -2.22%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 14:50
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.31%EV -8.63%E -4.34%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -2.85%E -0.670%K -0.877%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 14:49
SportsBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.79%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -2.85%E -0.670%K -0.877%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 14:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.99%E -0.950%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 14:55
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.88%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -4.68%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -5.39%E -1.78%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.82%EV -9.55%E -4.85%K -9.84%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.29%EV -7.42%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.89%EV -11.63%E -4.11%K -6.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 14:45
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.94%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -8.56%E -2.14%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 14:15
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.04%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 14:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -14.14%E -7.56%K -16.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.98%EV -9.71%E -2.46%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -14.13%E -5.14%K -8.07%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.79%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.28%EV -7.71%E -3.84%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 14:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.16%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.16%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.69%EV -11.01%E -3.86%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:14
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.76%EV -10.85%E -2.78%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-23 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -1.64%E -0.521%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.27%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%EV -11.99%E -3.11%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.22%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -3.58%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-23 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:45
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.39%EV -2.66%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.85%EV -4.76%E -1.56%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 14:45
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 14:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.46%E -5.37%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 14:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.14%E -3.46%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 14:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -3.20%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 14:30
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -6.32%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 14:15
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -14.28%E -3.81%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 14:35
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.74%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-23 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 14:35
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.69%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -10.38%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -15.42%E -4.17%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-23 14:14
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:45
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:45
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.28%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -17.71%E -4.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -7.89%E -2.67%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-23 14:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -7.25%E -3.59%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -18.85%E -5.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.45%E -3.26%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -18.85%E -5.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -8.17%E -4.08%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -18.85%E -5.31%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.07%E -3.50%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.31%EV -11.38%E -5.90%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -22.28%E -6.55%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.54%EV -12.57%E -4.49%K -6.98%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-23 14:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-08-23 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-08-23 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.6%2026-08-23 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.34%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.6%2026-08-23 14:55
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.88%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%1.6%2026-08-23 14:50
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-08-23 14:55