The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SD Eibar v Cádiz CF

2026-11-15 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SD Eibar (Local)

Prediction 57.85%1.73fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.628%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.40%57.80%57.87%58.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.621.621.7168.03%61.75%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cádiz CF (Visit)

Prediction 18.73%5.34fair odd
EV -1.13%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.263%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.99%18.73%18.69%20.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.664.705.2823.81%21.46%21.28%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -0.923%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.69%23.47%23.44%25.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.753.754.2329.41%26.67%26.67%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SD Eibar (Local): 57.85%; Cádiz CF (Visit): 18.73%; Draw: 23.42%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.23, with an expected value of -0.923%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:30
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 18:29
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.89%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.42%EV -2.44%E -0.468%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -0.923%E -0.218%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.54%E -4.26%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-08 18:29
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.62%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.99%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.39%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 18:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 18:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-08 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.88%EV -8.60%E -5.44%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -5.43%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 18:46
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -21.35%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-08 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-08 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.64%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -21.35%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.07%EV -20.36%E -5.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.3%2026-11-08 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.46%EV -11.49%E -7.51%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.41%EV -16.67%E -3.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.13%EV -16.15%E -4.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-08 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.05%EV -12.07%E -7.94%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -21.35%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.67%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-11-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 56.24%EV -14.96%E -10.18%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.45%EV -20.41%E -4.80%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.31%EV -20.36%E -5.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-08 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 55.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%16.8%2026-11-08 18:25

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