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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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SD Eibar v Cádiz CF

2026-11-15 17:30 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

SD Eibar (Casa)

Previsione 57.85%1.73quota equa
EV -1.07%
Vantaggio -0.628%
Kelly -1.51%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.71

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.40%57.80%57.87%58.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.471.621.621.7168.03%61.75%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Cádiz CF (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.73%5.34quota equa
EV -1.13%
Vantaggio -0.213%
Kelly -0.263%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.99%18.73%18.69%20.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.664.705.2823.81%21.46%21.28%18.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 23.42%4.27quota equa
EV -0.923%
Vantaggio -0.218%
Kelly -0.286%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.69%23.47%23.44%25.18%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.753.754.2329.41%26.67%26.67%23.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: SD Eibar (Casa): 57.85%; Cádiz CF (Trasferta): 18.73%; Pareggio: 23.42%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.27. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.23, con un valore atteso del -0.923%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.95%EV -1.07%E -0.628%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.99%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-08 18:29
TABtouch🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:30
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -3.97%E -2.39%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-08 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.50%EV -5.12%E -3.12%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-08 18:29
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.89%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.42%EV -2.44%E -0.468%K -0.579%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.69%EV -0.923%E -0.218%K -0.286%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-08 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.53%EV -5.70%E -3.50%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -18.54%E -4.26%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -16.85%E -4.75%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-08 18:29
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.62%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.28I 18.94%NM 17.99%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.39%EV -4.90%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-08 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.69%E -0.321%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.31%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-08 18:25
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-08 18:40
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.51%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 18:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -6.28%E -3.88%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -13.34%E -3.60%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-08 19:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.64%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-08 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.09%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -11.05%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-08 18:25
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.97%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.51%EV -11.99%E -2.55%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.52%EV -8.65%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-08 18:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.86%E -4.26%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.11%E -2.11%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-08 19:25
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -6.37%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-08 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -13.86%E -3.01%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-08 18:40
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.44%E -4.65%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.73%E -3.50%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -10.99%E -2.89%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-08 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.88%EV -8.60%E -5.44%K -14.82%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.42%EV -5.43%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -3.97%E -0.968%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-08 18:46
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.87%EV -9.17%E -5.84%K -16.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.51%EV -21.35%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.61%EV -18.02%E -5.15%K -7.21%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-08 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.60%E -4.00%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -12.17%E -3.24%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.5%2026-11-08 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 54.64%EV -9.75%E -6.25%K -17.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.29%EV -21.35%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.07%EV -20.36%E -5.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.3%2026-11-08 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.46%EV -11.49%E -7.51%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.41%EV -16.67%E -3.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.13%EV -16.15%E -4.51%K -6.26%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-08 18:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.05%EV -12.07%E -7.94%K -23.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.28%EV -21.35%E -5.08%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.67%EV -15.68%E -4.36%K -6.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-11-08 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 56.24%EV -14.96%E -10.18%K -31.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 19.45%EV -20.41%E -4.80%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.31%EV -20.36%E -5.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-08 18:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 55.61%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%16.8%2026-11-08 18:25

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